snowray

UKMO 12z. Here are our snow flurries right along the SE coastline.

Ahh, I see what you mean, clear outlier.

Also, has anyone noticed the French Met Office model, PEARP?

We have a slight pivot on the ICON 12z, a fraction further north again, hardly noticeable but at least its not moved south.

Them showers just clipping corning coast are way ahead of schedule, could be a good omen.

I think your probably right there in that it will miss most of us. Just about still worth keeping an eye on though, now the ICON 09z has also shifted things back north and is clipping the far SE.

Maybe it could still shift a bit further north, I mean 20/30 miles further inland would include a fairly large chunk of Kent and Sussex, 50 miles and it's not far from South London. I'd be happy with just a 20 mile shift north from an IMBY perspective.

UKMO 06z has the PPN just clipping the south coast again, quite strange since its always shown it way to the south.

Maybe not such a bright idea. You can imagine the headlines.. "Thousands stranded as Eurostar cancelled due to blizzards hitting northern France".

Day trip to Calais anyone?

Indeed, what a nightmare! As long as we don't see any shifts south in the next 24 hours or so, I think that some places could still get lucky, tomorrow evenings radar will be the one to watch.

Just posted this chart on the MAD thread, big move from the Arome French model, about 50/60 miles further north, it had shown the PPN consistently way to the south of us. I imagine they are keeping a close eye on this feature across the channel, possible big snow for northern France and Benelux. Yes it would, vileness!

It's still not over and done with yet, the Arome has moved the PPN about 50/60 miles north on its 06z run. Up until now it had been way to the south, similar to UKMO.

PPN on ICON slightly further north again on Wednesday, right along the south coast. You gave me an idea, there's a pretty long pier at Eastbourne, and there's a pub right at the end of the pier, I might be tempted!

Still got light snow here, not settling though.

if that channel streamer had moved just a few miles north we would have been in the honey pot here on the south coast, no such luck.

Heavy snow and possible blizzards today from the streamer that was very close to us here over the channel but barely ever even clipped the coast, a few flakes, praise the lord, were blown this way from the sea and miraculously made landfall, tried to settle for a while down by the De la Warr on the sea front. Now who was it that said yesterday that we should have hired a boat?

Zero here, as expected. Anyway it's early yet, some rather heavy showers now forming out east from the Thames estuary, could get interesting soon for some areas as they move inland, anyway fingers crossed.

Bearsted used to be one of the honey pots in Kent back in the 80's for snow, I think it was Jan 87 that my old boss who lived there was completely snowed in for almost a week and couldn't make it in to work in London, he was a short man, I remember him saying he could not see over the snow drifts in his back garden. Tomorrow should be a lot colder than today so can't see us reaching them dizzy heights of 4/5c again. Upper temps today were around -6c, tomorrow -10c, -11c, -12c Dew points today were 2c on the coast and about 0c, possibly -1c in places max, tomorrow -3c, -4c, -5c. Should make a big difference, I think some places will see 2/3cm maybe a bit more. Any bookies around to start a competition, Tom?

Wow, that's close to 250 meters, really high up for the SE, not surprised you do so well for snow.

Any altitude is always a big plus of course, how high up are you there?

That is so annoying! Chanel Islands will be the honey pot.

Just looked at the met office radar forecast, it has updated for Monday and is showing a lot more showers coming through now than it did earlier on, maybe Kasim is onto something there.

I noticed that the ECM likes to tease us with cold charts that come to nothing, but when a real outbreak of cold weather is on the cards it's as miserly as the BBC!