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snowray

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snowray last won the day on December 31 2019

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    Bexhill-on-Sea, East Sussex
  • Weather Preferences
    Winter Snow, extreme weather, mainly sunny mild summers though.

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  1. Scorcher It's been so mild this winter in western Europe generally speaking that we would probably need some very cold uppers in place at this time of the year to see low daytime temps, has felt more like late March down here. I can see night temps still being quite low next week, it would seem to me that it will be the last 2 days that will decide the fate of the February CET record. Strong SE wind along the south coast, now veering more easterly, just started raining and temp up to 8c. Possibly almost 24 hours of PPN to come from this channel low, all rain of course south of the M4, another top up to PPN totals. I remember having an old Weather Lore book when I was at school, probably printed well before my time in the 1940s/1950s, explained a lot about weather fronts, wind direction, air pressure. I remember for late winters it would say, beware in late winters pressure falling, SE/East winds off the cold continent, likelihood of widespread heavy snow particularly in the SE of the UK, with a picture of a village in Kent covered in thick snow. Joke!
  2. Upgrade for the rainfall it would seem this morning with close to 24 hours of RAIN in the far SE as the low pivots!
  3. Tomorrow should be 8.275c so rounded up to 8.3c., quite exciting this. There were some pretty low temps last night, noticed -3/-4c. Temps dropping away quite quickly again this evening ahead of tomorrows cloud and rain in the south.
  4. Neilsouth Yes I was thinking that too, heavy rain with hail yesterday here, more today, then about 10 hours of rain for tomorrow and into Monday morning south of the M4 from the channel low. HAD ENOUGH!! Of course we all know that if it was cold enough for snow, it would miss us all completely and not even clip the SE coast.
  5. I would still be cautious, I notice we had some 0c temps around already earlier this evening presumably as clearer skies move westwards. I calculated that if we get some lower night temps (0-3c) in the next week even with relatively high day temps (5-8c) we could see a drop to around 7.8c.
  6. WINTRY WALES Indeed. I was up at 1.300m on the Italian/Austran border not long ago and saw fresh snowfall, but at 1,200m slightly further down it was wet.
  7. Omnipresent Azores high back to it's usual winter location, up it comes, game over. I often ask myself, how on earth can a block/northern blocking ever set up in any favourable position for sustained UK cold, even if teleconnections/AO/NAO/PNA and of course SSW's are looking red hot when we see this same pattern year in year out in our winters? Yes some of the time, but surely not always these days. I know there has been a lot of discussion in the past with regards to the Azores high being so far north and west in winter, maybe it is our default pattern to an extent, but much of Western Europe has had hardly any snow, or rain, yet again this year even in mountain areas like in Northern Italy, it's not just our little island. All very strange if you ask me.
  8. reef From these silly high levels I always thought that just a 5 day "average" cold snap could reduce the CET by 1c, one week of "deeper cold" by 1.5/2c. Can't see even the 1c drop happening now.
  9. Even this late Feb cold snap looks feeble, may upgrade, but historically speaking there has been more cold air to larch onto in April/May with the set up that is showing. So depressing that it's just going to be more wet and cold rain for most of us. I had expectations of something a bit more seasonal for the 2nd half of the month, not more rain, so we are going from mild rain to cold rain... when will it end?
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