CLH

Max feel like forecasts well out for today.

Update on my race as a barometer of where we are. I've never seen Pembrey like it. We crossed about 3 rivers which are not rivers, just hollows. Knee deep. Deep mud in places. Just awful. And did 4km (twice) along the beach into 50mph crosswinds (awful). We always get caught up in anecdote over statistics. But I think all our anecdotes this year are spot in. Just the worst.

10th Anniversary of (cyling) Battle on the Beach at Pembrey tomorrow. I've done probably 7 of them? Obviously none during Covid. I can recall one event being damp, but most of them being glorious and, remarkably, with an easterly (we travel NE up the beach then into the singletrack) and repeat. And, being on the beach/forest, it's always dry. For tomorrow's race the route has changed because the forest is largely flooded, which is pretty unprecedented even in the depths of winter. And it looks like we face a 49mph gusting SW'erly. Not in your face but enough to really make it a bit grindy!

I'll go with yellow warning, low impact.

It feels highly unlikely

I think I saw flurries last winter. This one? Nada.

The M4 is, surely, some sort of mystic ley line......

Had expected more moderation in the wind by this point of the day, but, still pretty gusty. Tomorrow's wind kicks off mid morning and carries on until, mostly, breakfast time Wednesday.

The hype which desensitises people isn't because of storm naming or warning, it's because of how things are reported. When you have the likes of the Express with their exact date a wall of snow will bring armageddon, it's hardly surprising people don't take storm warnings seriously.

An observation that the fire fighting effort for the Bridgend fire might have been very different in Wednesday/Thursday evening's temps.

Hoping that this one doesn't turn out like Darwin (2014)

Looking rough and, as above, the spread and duration are very worrying. Earlier in the week it looked like it wouldn't coincide with high (though neap) tides. Now looks like it does, at least on the Monday morning

Sunday looks like a sleep in a different room to where the wind is....

I am hoping you're referring to a wall of snow and not the headline!

We've seen the EXACT DATE that a WALL OF SNOW will BURY the UK and cause CHAOS But, this is a new one