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Flake news

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Everything posted by Flake news

  1. Flake news
    Should start to hear the toads croaking this week.
  2. Flake news
    Need a photo of a snowy moonlit Sycamore Gap, or else I don't believe you
  3. Flake news
    Some proper snow showers in the north east this morning, very heavy and prolonged. Like an impressive final flourish at the end of an otherwise underwhelming fireworks display.
  4. Flake news
    Yes the reality on the ground hasn't matched what a quick look at the charts would suggest. 15 years from now someone will browse the archives for this year and think "wow that must have been really cold and snowy", but the reality has been much less exciting.
  5. Flake news
    I don't know if these posts are meant to be trolling, but I sense that the majority on here just want spring now too. 3 months of high anomalies to the north have struggled to produce anything properly memorable for much of the country.
  6. Flake news
    Just popped in to hank you all for bringing the word 'graupel' into my life.
  7. Flake news
    Underwhelmed by the North Sea snow showers this morning. if it's a 'machine' it's running well below capacity due to unresolved operational issues. Mornings getting lighter, spring suddenly feels in touching distance. A bit of warmth to ramp up the new year won't go amiss now.
  8. Flake news
    But it's not nailed on, & for coldies it's absolutely *screaming* potential.
  9. Flake news
    "And don't you eat that yellow snow..."
  10. Flake news
    In a couple of weeks time the sun will begin to shine, the birds sing and the flowers bloom for you before the rest of us. Winter will become a distant memory and you'll wonder why the hell you ever wanted cold and wet slushy snow in the first place.
  11. Flake news
    Well colder countries mandate winter tyres, some of the tyres are so effective they gouge the road up. Vaccine delivery vehicles will probably have winter tyres but that won't stop them getting stuck in queues behind those that don't.
  12. Flake news
    ...yet for all that I genuinely can't recall a single ice day all winter in my town (although to make up for it, I have had about 300% of the normal rainfall).
  13. Flake news
    Even the Beast was at best slush on the beaches where I am
  14. Flake news
    The twitter guys post NH charts of massive +anomalies to the north and then the up-to-date NWP promptly blasts out a 945mb storm to the NW of Scotland. Who to believe?
  15. Flake news
    It makes me laugh how people sometimes post a chart from like t=+6h then just write "much better!". It's all very confusing sometimes.
  16. Flake news
    We'll end up with a compromise solution that brings slush for a few days. No model will 'win'.
  17. Flake news
    That says more about the last 10 Januaries than it does about this one.
  18. Flake news
    I see the cool guys on twitter have retreated to posting esoteric AAM stuff again, which says it all about the current model output really. It's not like a lack of northern blocking & amplification is the problem anyway. It's been there all winter and the real arctic air just isn't coming.
  19. Flake news
    one thing i've learnt in recent winters is that Greenland Highs are overrated... heights nearer Iceland are more meaningful. It's amazing that both low and high heights near Greenland can leave the UK stuck with south-westerlies.
  20. Flake news
    I'd add that if a model is not 'consistent' in it's output it might be because that model is the most accurate... if the real atmosphere is close to the boundaries of basins of attraction then an accurate simulation will detect that boundary by having 2 slightly different sets of initial conditions produce wildly different outcomes.
  21. Flake news
    Someone should just write 'no' in the "Is The Beast Awakening?" thread and be done with it.
  22. Flake news
    I remember as a kid buying the Sunday TImes for its 5 day forecast complete with pressure charts. Highlight of the week for me.
  23. Flake news
    Well I live near sea level in the North East and I haven't seen powder snow in more than 10 years, even the Beast was slushy at my altitude. I suspect this will be no different.
  24. Flake news
    I don't currently see much from the output that the usual gritters etc won't cope with. Things should keep moving well enough.
  25. Flake news
    They both have identical initial values at corresponding grid points, so they should be similar. Any differences are artefacts of the calculation method.
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