[Moans, ramps and banter]

 raz.org.rain A very bold claim, thing is literally no one knows how the summer will pan out. LRFs, analogues, seasonals are aren't great tbh. Don't have to go back to see them failing miserably (July 2023, Winter 23/24). 

[When do you predict the first 20°C and 25°C of 2024 will be?]

 Don Not countrywide but in 1998, the warmest temperature here was 25C. That would be inconceivable in today's climate. 

[Moans, ramps and banter]

 raz.org.rain I think many are pleased that it's getting drier. It's the most optimistic I've been since January. 

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

For a 10 day chart, a pretty strong signal for a mid Atlantic block, making its way to Greenland. Virtually all members go for this idea. 

Shame we didn't see more of this during winter..

 

 

[Moans, ramps and banter]

 danm Dramatic falls in temperature across the continent. Zurich was 26C during the weekend, now 5C.. exceptional. 

Over here, it's sunny but only 8C. Still feels quite chilly under the strong sun. 

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

 daz_4 Vienna has seen the first half of April average 16C, with most days in the upper 20s. The cold spell will definitely be a detriment to new foliage but it is finally going back to normal after such a prolonged heat spell. 

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

 Daniel* A remarkable switch to something cooler, this would've been a notable cold spell in winter. I wonder what triggered this response..

At least it looks dry. The CET will tank if frosts occur, what a strange month this is coming out to be. 

[Moans, ramps and banter]

 raz.org.rain Ain't really a warm spell, more like a blip. Uppers during the weekend only make it around average. Of course, with clear skies it will feel pleasant.

The outlook afterwards puts us in a pretty chilly picture, hopefully it isn't the dull kind. 

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

 Scorcher True, forgot to consider the strength of the sun at this time of year and possible inversions. Mild days in the mid to high teens likely. Nights would be chilly though if skies clear. 

[Northwest Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 onwards]

Temperatures at Rostherne showing 14C .. a measly 8C at Manchester Airport. I'm guessing that's due to a localised shower, that seems to bring the temps down quite a bit. 

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

Can't recall seeing graphs like this in April since 2021. Both chilly and dry. 

   

Down south are seeing quite the period of below average temperatures.

[April 2021 - Very Cold but Very Sunny]

What a brilliant month this was. The first two weeks were exceptionally cold for the time of year. Temperatures well below freezing and struggling to top 10C, not to mention the record breaking amount of sunshine. The sunniest April on record, you wouldn't expect it to be so cold given past sunny April's have all been mild to warm (2007,11,20). I can recall snow falling on the 10th, temperatures that day didn't exceed 5C. The second half was exceptionally sunny, virtually every day had clear skies. 

April 2021 saw the lowest min CET on record at 1.2C, in context January 2013 was also 1.2C. For here, the month saw a min average of 0.5C.. that's colder than Jan 2021. Feb 2018 was just 0.1C colder. Dec 2022 was 0.2C colder. 

It had a record amount of frosts beating most winter months. This all happened after the very warm end to March, temperatures didn't recover until the end of May. Most people I talk to think of April 2021 fondly, yes it was exceptionally cold but the sunshine made up for it. 

Personally, it's one of my favourite spring months given the freakish nature to it all and exceptional cold.. something we hardly see these days. 

[Moans, ramps and banter]

 Scorcher Yes, the morning was really bad. But thankfully it cleared up with some clear skies, originally thought it'd be raining non stop today. 

[Moans, ramps and banter]

You could say today had everything. Hail, heavy rain, sunshine and even some localised thunder. Quite a cold day, but feeling pleasant in the sun. I do think it's time for more lengthy spells of dry weather, can't recall the last time we had a full week of sun. 

[April 2024 C.E.T. and EWP contests]

 Metwatch The 2020/2021 pair is such an interesting quirk with one being very mild and one very cold. Both being the sunniest April's on record with 2021 just beating it. 

[Sunshine Level Watch 2024]

 SunSean The sunny April's of 2018-22 seem so distant away. We got around 240hrs in 2021 yet 10 days into this month it's only at 15... This month is basically the same as last year but a lot milder. 

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

Could all go the other way but it looks like after months of above average temperatures, maybe a change is upon us. GEFS go for a pretty protracted spell of cooler weather, possible frosts where skies are clear. And with that, also quite dry conditions. Not uncommon to be seen in April.

  

12Z going for a huge Greenland block, now if only that happened a few weeks prior.. 

[Moans, ramps and banter]

The cooler weather is quickly gaining momentum, something that hasn't been seen since mid January. Let's hope with it comes days of sunshine and minimal rainfall. 

[April 2024 C.E.T. and EWP contests]

I don't think we'll be anywhere near 11C if the GEFS 6z is anything to go by. Could be a cool, anticyclonic second half.

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

Quite a chilly outlook going by the 0z ens. April could be a strange first half mild, second half cool.. 

[April 2024 C.E.T. and EWP contests]

GFS 12Z says no to a record breaking warm April. Obviously an outlier but it's been quite a consistent theme in the runs recently for a cool down mid month. 

[Early April 1946: a taste of summer]

Something I've noticed is how warm Aprils were back in the 1940s, something we're yet to see in a warming climate. Back to back warm Aprils in 1943,44,45,46 and 49. All had a CET of 10C+, except 46 with 9.9C.  Keep in mind from 1893 to 1943, there was not one 10C April so it's kind of strange how out of nowhere we saw four in the 40s (five if you round 9.9C).

[Moans, ramps and banter]

These mild minima aren't that unusual, it happens almost every winter. Can recall the end of March 2017 having very mild mins, in which it set a record. 

[General summer chat]

 baddie And that Dec 2010 was the complete inverse of 2015. Mild snap mid December 2010, cold snap mid December 2015. Exceptionally cold first 10 days, exceptionally mild first 10 days . Exceptionally cold Christmas, exceptionally mild Christmas. Also that happened in the space of 5 years, same w July 2015/20. It is quite fascinating when looking at the stats. 

Sorry just realised this is the summer thread.. 

[Cold and sunny or mild and wet (at this time of the year)]

Should put up a poll. For me it's sunny and cold, by far the best weather combination this country can get. Good examples in April are 2016, 2019, and of course 2021. Cool to mild days around 10-14C with temps rapidly dropping to near freezing is what I look forward to in spring, it also vastly improves soil quality.

Mild and wet is the worst, the upcoming spell just reeks of pure filth and it can't just be me that thinks that. It's a perpetual string of mild days that gets to me, especially when we could be enjoying much better weather.. Hopefully late April into May can bring some pleasant days, high teens and low single digit minima go great imo.