Monotone

Scandinavian blockade scenarios began to emerge in the first week of February. This is a tragic development during this period when the Siberian thermal springs began to move. For example, there was no such action until 10 days ago. The scenarios that led to the Greenland blockade were dominant. And now there are outputs that give this scenario. While the dominant scenario is the Scandinavian blockade (in this scenario there is a possibility that Siberian thermals will land in Eastern Europe), if the Greenland congestion occurs, the Siberian Thermal will go to Western Europe and it will be very cold. The first week of February is very complicated. We have to wait .. The beginning of February actually determines the fate of February. If there is a blockade of Greenland instead of the Scandinavian, the system will not descend into Eastern Europe until the 15th, but from the 15th it can receive systems suspended in Central Europe. The Middle East is entering a dry and arid period. I used my guess for the Greenland blockade in early January. Because there was no scenario for the Scandinavian blockade. But now there is the possibility of a Scandinavian blockade and I am hopeful. If the stratospheric displacement phenomenon provides mating, we will see many more actionable images. I think EPS suggested such a scenario based on this possibility. Stratosphere warming may occur at the end of February. It is not yet clear whether it will be FSW or SSW. Images: ECMWF expects February with a focus on West-Central Europe.

I am sorry. I thought I was in the Turkish forum for a moment I will share in english after that

2 hafta sonra (yaklaşık) stratosferde meydana gelmesi muhtemel bir SSW, önce endekslere ve ardından GFS modeline yansıtıldı. Olası GGB'yi bir yapı olarak incelersek, bölüneceğini tahmin edebiliriz. Kutup girdabını parçalayan atımlar, Avrasya üzerinden ülkemize veya çevresine büyük bir sistem taşıyabilir. Stratosferik bölgesel rüzgarlar, şekildeki gibi olası dönüşü ortaya koymaktadır. ECMWF ve GFS bu konuda hemfikir görünüyor. Bu, günler önce bahsettiğimiz Displace'den sonra Split'in olasılıklarını artırdı. --- Forumunuzda yeniyim. Türkiye'den katılıyorum. Eleştiriye ve bilgiye açığım. teşekkür ederim EDIT: Translation using Google added: An SSW likely to occur in the stratosphere after 2 weeks (approximately) was first reflected in the indices and then in the GFS model. If we examine the possible SSP as a structure, we can guess that it will be divided. The beats that break the polar vortex can carry a large system to our country or its surroundings through Eurasia. Stratospheric regional winds reveal the possible turn as in the figure. ECMWF and GFS seem to agree on this. This increased the possibilities of Split after the Displace we mentioned days ago. --- I'm new to your forum. I am joining from Turkey. I am open to criticism and information. thank you.

Greetings. Forum I am joining from Turkey There are amateur forums and forecasts like you in my country. But our aerospace technology and knowledge is not as much as you. My request from you is to share the patterns created by AAM, GWO and Torques (friction, mountain etc.) and their effects on Asia, Europe and America in plain / note form (information I will use when estimating) .. It is my request from our expert members. Thank you sorry for my english