Matt H

Hello, I hope everyone is well. This is the first time I’ve posted in a while and the outlook for Christmas is looking increasingly exciting. A fantastic GFS 18z run this evening and I hope that the trend continues tomorrow.

ECM 12z looks interesting at t192.

Looks like colder weather might be trying to make a comeback then. Hopefully we can squeeze one last decent cold spell out of this winter before spring properly sets in.

Parallel run is a stonker. There definitely seems to be a growing signal for an easterly during the first week of March now.

Interesting GFS 12z this afternoon. Another notable cold spell is definitely possible during early March!

If there is a late season cold spell, I hope it comes in the form of p10 as this would certainly be an impressive way to end the winter.

I haven’t posted much recently but I’d personally welcome some warmer weather turning up soon as I’d love to be able to spend some more time outdoors. I was hoping for a decent snow event before the winter is over, and that may still happen, but in the meantime I’ll happily enjoy an early taste of spring if these charts verify. Just to add, I’ve thoroughly enjoyed posting on here during the winter months and I’m so glad that I joined the forum back in November as this hobby has kept me going during the lockdown when there’s been little else to do and it has been a great season of model watching overall.

I was going to have a break from model watching but the ECM 12z at t216 has definitely drawn me back in again. The chase for the next easterly begins here.

GFS, GFS(p) and GEM 12z runs are all showing the possibility of a snow event next Monday. Arpege 12z is showing a snow event as early as Sunday. GFS: GFS(p): GEM: Arpege:

A summary of the recent cold spell here in Cambridge. Unfortunately it has been a complete non-event once again here. Hope everyone has had a lovely week in the snow though, I’ve enjoyed seeing everyone’s pictures and videos.

The pub run has a decent snow event on Sunday/Monday.

GFS 12z has a fantastic snow event next Monday. It shows what’s possible with this setup even if we don’t manage to develop another easterly.

The milder period has virtually disappeared on the GEFS 18z ensemble suite. The mean now only ‘recovers’ to -5C by the 13th February where previously it rose above 0C. Interesting times ahead for sure.

Decent JMA 12z out to t192. It would only take a small shift north of the ridge to be an excellent chart.

Update from Cambridge. Hope everyone has enjoyed their snow today.