Woodboss

Well said Paul! Sticking to the topic discussion and respecting the guidelines and each other is an absolute must for this great community!

Evening all hope everyone is well and ready for what's to come. There is the potential for some very strong convection with this storm and as recent radar shows there is a very pronounced line that's developed and moving through the central channel. With very strong shear present this has the potential to produce very strong convective wind gusts potentially at quite alarming speeds. There is also the potential for a brief tornado or too with this setup! Currently here in Hassocks sustained winds are now at least 25-30 mph and gusts are now likely to be pushing north of 50mph. There is likely to be some very dangerous conditions as this line moves across and if anyone is out in this like I am then you need to be very aware and if you have any doubt then seek shelter! Good luck to anyone out experiencing this but know your limits,stay away from the immediate coast as the waves are already massive,stay away from large and exposed trees as there is a good chance of trees failing and most importantly stay safe.

Ive seen both of these and they are likely the best I've seen on here this year, you've certainly hit the jackpot so really well done! The one at night you caught is likely only 100m away,that made a similar sound to the strike I saw in the New forest as I mentioned above. The one in the field is a monstrous strike and was almost identical to what I saw here just over a week ago at night! You definitely done good with getting these on film but definitely be careful in open fields because the strike I witnessed from just 80ft away a few years back was in an open field and I was very lucky to have not been harmed and it was a very sharp reminder that I will never forget!

That's absolutely unreal! Great shot Flash!

This is very close indeed! I had a similar hit here in west Sussex just over a week ago and the strike was absolutely colossal! Around 450-500 meters from my house according to lightning maps and I felt the shock wave outside in the back yard! This I think is a good 100m closer because of the real crack at the start and because of my experience of numerous occasions where I have pushed my luck and witnessed close and sometimes dangerously close strikes! 70-80 ft is the closest for me but by far the loudest was in the new forest. A single CG struck a tree around 100m away right in front of me and the force and noise from it was astonishing. I am certain that I will never hear that sort of sound ever again from a storm, this strike was on another planet ! I think this could be under 400m away as a conservative guess from my past experience with that sort of sound but possibly a bit less too. A massive strike nonetheless!

Cracking shots matey! That's a decent looking structure on that thing indeed.

An early morning stop off point for me when I'm driving down to Cornwall at silly o clock in the morning to avoid the traffic ! Have even seen a storm from there a few years back traveling down to st Ives one morning !

Good call supacell! This can and has happened on a few occasions down here on the Sussex coast. We currently have sea temperatures here at around 18 degrees still and with cold air aloft some of the vital ingredients are in place. A warm moist plume undercutting cold uppers is also key too!

Last October's storm's we're very pokey and pretty well organized indeed for us on the south coast! Quite possibly the most intense daytime storm I've seen in thirty years! I watched this come in from the beach near Worthing and the gust front was loaded! At least 50mph straight line winds and if I'm honest I'm being quite conservative so could have been higher as I was having difficulty standing up properly! Also a fairly decent tornado in the Hampshire/Dorset area too!

Channel is lighting up like the national grid, good luck to all that are out tonight!

I remember this night very well! By far the best that year! Great capture matey!

Evening all, just as we approach a potentially active 24 hours or so of weather there are signs that we are now coming towards some destabilisation. Some rather pokey little cells are starting to form now between the approaching trough to the South West and the little convective mess that I'm watching moving in towards Hampshire and West Sussex. This is the point where I usually start keeping a closer eye on the radar. Best of luck to all that will be out chasing over the next day or so and hopefully we will see some decent convective activity .

If this came off then we'd be looking at some very dangerous thunderstorm's indeed! Very highly unlikely to be anywhere near these numbers here and even in the States this is an astonishing figure! I have a friend who lives in Texas and they had storms with cape value's approaching 5500j/kg a few years back with all other parameters in place. It produced fist sized hail and cloud tops well in excess of 50000ft causing a lot of damage! As I mentioned earlier not likely to have figures anywhere near that high here but in the unlikely event it did come off it would be pretty special!

The last chart you posted certainly grabs my attention. 2-3000j/kg cape is very high for anywhere in this country but to have these numbers across the whole of Sussex and Kent and around 2000j/kg even on the coast is a very much loaded gun scenario! These figures are likely to be watered down somewhat nearer the time but if this was to come off this would provide the recipe for some serious thunderstorms! Also if deep layer shear and high dew points are conducive then we could be looking at some very nasty storms indeed! It's definitely a situation to watch out for and worth keeping a close eye on the model runs as we draw closer to the forecasted plume! I have got underneath many good storm's over the years here in the South East but the storm I witnessed from my view point on the south downs near Hove back in July 2017 was absolutely astonishing! If this turns out to be anything near what I witnessed that night it will be one to remember !

Great shots these are! This is a particularly interesting looking storm too. The third photo looks to me like a half decent attempt at a wall cloud looking at the structure of this!