Eagle Eye

2024-04-25T09:06:02Z

Some angry but unthreatening skies yesterday.

2024-04-24T14:55:16Z

Saturday with a positively tilted trough ejecting across the southern parts of the great plains with a full on dryline and with 65°F+ dewpoint. Very much a potentially classic setup here, but there's still a lot that could go wrong. That notch in Northern Kansas would probably be the safest bet, but you'd typically chase Oklahoma on a plains day given previous events, even one last year when the plains wasn't that active if I remember correctly.

Northern Kansas

Oklahoma

April 17

What I think was the north sea storm approaching but just skirting past Kent.

April 17

Harry's House

Must have missed that as I was in Ashford just down the road from that. Don't know how I missed it.

April 17

A few showers around.

April 16

Absolutely incredible tornado footage

April 16

Convective Outlook️

North Sea showers should move south mostly across the East Anglia area and some into the SE. Risking thundery nature with them with 50+ J/KG of 3CAPE.

Some hail appears possible and a small chance of a tornado or funnel cloud. However, the weak lift and weak energy limits lightning and severe potential.

Mostly gone for slight based off what happened today.

April 16

Lightning verification from today.

April 16

A convective shower day so can't complain here.

April 16

Storm to my SW is beginning to form a pretty nice base that'll allow for some good photos but the sun is very close to it and means that my photos are over exposed, even if I try and just get the cloud in.

April 15

Ben Sainsbury

Yeah seems the spot. The only model that convect significantly the NAM 3KM has the best handle on the moisture advection at the moment. Central Jansas has a great environment but a large cap in place, Nebraska would be a more sure fire bet but less off an incredible wind field environment.

Central Kansas.

Central southern Nebraska.

Also a reminder of the Oklahoman environment just in case. That wind field is potentially violent but thankfully there's a surface inversion and storm initiation looks to upscale too quickly once it gets going.

April 15

Convective Outlook ️

Scattered showers will develop across Eng bringing the risk of sporadic lightning within most intense cells which also may contain hail, but nothing severe worthy.

April 15

WeatherArc

Hatched tornado risk. Looks like I'm staying up tonight.

April 14

Convective Outlook ️

An active cold front is developing just of the coast of W Scot which will track SE across the country bringing the risk of the odd lightning strikes, 60mph gusts & a brief possible tornado. T-storms are also expected for W Scot where a SLGHT has been issued. Perhaps a re-strengthening towards the Lincolnshire corridor but not enough confidence in how it'll evolve for that.

April 12

Monday is very interesting with high end potential. Hooked low-levels with enough CAPE allowing significant risks for tornadic activity to occur. The very high buoyancy will help likely with breaking any cap in place and the lower the CAPE is as long as there's still enough for severe thunderstorm, the less likely of a messy setup there it.

On the ejecting side of a trough with advancing shear and a lobe of shearing into the western parts of Oklahoma and into central Northern Kansas appears to be roughly where this convection should be held. That shearing is by far strong enough for tornadic risks to be there with this but we'll likely have to wait for the HRRR to get a more accurate view as the NAM can be quite poor at times.

The soundings have a stretched and strong low-level wind field with mostly streamwise vorticity and a classically significant tornadic saturation profile. However, there is some lack of low-level CAPE and that'll likely have to be watched closely as a potential bust mode.

April 9

Ben Sainsbury

Yeah, probably the best one I've captured because I've managed to find some new places in the village that I can quickly run to it and watch it envelop houses, may be better for lightning photography in the future. There was also thunder rumbling away inside the storm, not half bad for April.

April 8

Another little timelapse. Excuse the high brightness at the start, it lowers quickly though.

April 8

Edited a few images to what they looked like looking at my camera rather than what came out.

April 8

Straight off my camera, quite often my camera likes low saturated photos so excuse if they look fairly black and white. Still an insane experience though.

April 8

Possible elevated Supercell here earlier

April 8

This is what I mean by when I've told people that it was menacing. Just look at it off my camera.

April 8

Quite possibly an elevated Supercell and some of my favourite photos I've ever taken. It was incredibly menacing as it moved it. Lots of striations showed themselves occasionally.