Eagle Eye

Ben Sainsbury Yeah seems the spot. The only model that convect significantly the NAM 3KM has the best handle on the moisture advection at the moment. Central Jansas has a great environment but a large cap in place, Nebraska would be a more sure fire bet but less off an incredible wind field environment. Central Kansas. Central southern Nebraska. Also a reminder of the Oklahoman environment just in case. That wind field is potentially violent but thankfully there's a surface inversion and storm initiation looks to upscale too quickly once it gets going.

Convective Outlook ️ Scattered showers will develop across Eng bringing the risk of sporadic lightning within most intense cells which also may contain hail, but nothing severe worthy.

WeatherArc Hatched tornado risk. Looks like I'm staying up tonight.

Convective Outlook ️ An active cold front is developing just of the coast of W Scot which will track SE across the country bringing the risk of the odd lightning strikes, 60mph gusts & a brief possible tornado. T-storms are also expected for W Scot where a SLGHT has been issued. Perhaps a re-strengthening towards the Lincolnshire corridor but not enough confidence in how it'll evolve for that.

Monday is very interesting with high end potential. Hooked low-levels with enough CAPE allowing significant risks for tornadic activity to occur. The very high buoyancy will help likely with breaking any cap in place and the lower the CAPE is as long as there's still enough for severe thunderstorm, the less likely of a messy setup there it. On the ejecting side of a trough with advancing shear and a lobe of shearing into the western parts of Oklahoma and into central Northern Kansas appears to be roughly where this convection should be held. That shearing is by far strong enough for tornadic risks to be there with this but we'll likely have to wait for the HRRR to get a more accurate view as the NAM can be quite poor at times. The soundings have a stretched and strong low-level wind field with mostly streamwise vorticity and a classically significant tornadic saturation profile. However, there is some lack of low-level CAPE and that'll likely have to be watched closely as a potential bust mode.

Ben Sainsbury Yeah, probably the best one I've captured because I've managed to find some new places in the village that I can quickly run to it and watch it envelop houses, may be better for lightning photography in the future. There was also thunder rumbling away inside the storm, not half bad for April.

petal_20240408_221339.mp4 Another little timelapse. Excuse the high brightness at the start, it lowers quickly though.

Edited a few images to what they looked like looking at my camera rather than what came out.

Straight off my camera, quite often my camera likes low saturated photos so excuse if they look fairly black and white. Still an insane experience though. P1340707.mp4 P1350001.mp4 P1350426.mp4

Possible elevated Supercell here earlier P1340707.mp4 P1350001.mp4 P1350426.mp4

This is what I mean by when I've told people that it was menacing. Just look at it off my camera.

Quite possibly an elevated Supercell and some of my favourite photos I've ever taken. It was incredibly menacing as it moved it. Lots of striations showed themselves occasionally.

Bolt From Blue Looks like it. Got insane photos.

Oh for a little bit more favourable lightning conditions.

This is ramping up though, starting to gain a proper shelf cloud. The definition on this is crazy.