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Eagle Eye last won the day on April 8
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Woodchurch, Kent.
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Colorado isn't actually a bad place to chase, it seems to rarely fail, Ijust that it doesn't typically seem to have high end events but if you want some good dusty pictures like old tornado pictures, go there.
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Storms and Convective discussion - April 2024
Eagle Eye replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Convective Outlook️ Falling mid-level GPH and surface pressure overnight with some cooling of the uppers with lower level temperatures staying more level should allow for the western edge of a Theta-E ejection to force a few showers overnight on Friday. Surface bands of vorticity should eject westward from northern France from a frontal system into a strong low-level lapse-rate area forcing potentially 100 J/KG Of 3CAPE but with weak deep-layer shear and high saturation the lightning risk is rather low and limited to the southwest and central southern coast. -
Storms and Convective discussion - April 2024
Eagle Eye replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
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Saturday with a positively tilted trough ejecting across the southern parts of the great plains with a full on dryline and with 65°F+ dewpoint. Very much a potentially classic setup here, but there's still a lot that could go wrong. That notch in Northern Kansas would probably be the safest bet, but you'd typically chase Oklahoma on a plains day given previous events, even one last year when the plains wasn't that active if I remember correctly. Northern Kansas Oklahoma
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Storms and Convective discussion - April 2024
Eagle Eye replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
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Storms and Convective discussion - April 2024
Eagle Eye replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Harry's House Must have missed that as I was in Ashford just down the road from that. Don't know how I missed it. -
Storms and Convective discussion - April 2024
Eagle Eye replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
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Absolutely incredible tornado footage
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Storms and Convective discussion - April 2024
Eagle Eye replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Convective Outlook️ North Sea showers should move south mostly across the East Anglia area and some into the SE. Risking thundery nature with them with 50+ J/KG of 3CAPE. Some hail appears possible and a small chance of a tornado or funnel cloud. However, the weak lift and weak energy limits lightning and severe potential. Mostly gone for slight based off what happened today. -
Storms and Convective discussion - April 2024
Eagle Eye replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
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Storms and Convective discussion - April 2024
Eagle Eye replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
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Storms and Convective discussion - April 2024
Eagle Eye replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Storm to my SW is beginning to form a pretty nice base that'll allow for some good photos but the sun is very close to it and means that my photos are over exposed, even if I try and just get the cloud in. -
Ben Sainsbury Yeah seems the spot. The only model that convect significantly the NAM 3KM has the best handle on the moisture advection at the moment. Central Jansas has a great environment but a large cap in place, Nebraska would be a more sure fire bet but less off an incredible wind field environment. Central Kansas. Central southern Nebraska. Also a reminder of the Oklahoman environment just in case. That wind field is potentially violent but thankfully there's a surface inversion and storm initiation looks to upscale too quickly once it gets going.
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Storms and Convective discussion - April 2024
Eagle Eye replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Convective Outlook ️ Scattered showers will develop across Eng bringing the risk of sporadic lightning within most intense cells which also may contain hail, but nothing severe worthy. -
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