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Eagle Eye

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Eagle Eye last won the day on December 23 2023

Eagle Eye had the most liked content!

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    Woodchurch, Kent.
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    weather and cricket
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    Storm, drizzle

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  1. This does appear to be a real video as there's a similar shot from further away of the dead man walking structure of one of the tornadoes with multiple large vortexes. Suggestive that it cold well have been violent.
  2. Horrible horrible night for some people unfortunately. A couple absolutely violent tornadoes last night at the dark hours, the worst time.
  3. Convective Outlook️ A couple lines of showers and thunderstorms could form in areas of cloud clearance on Friday. With 600+ J/KG of SBCAPE possible in areas aiding sporadic lightning. The two lines most likely appear to be forecasted roughly from the SW ENE-wards towards Essex and perhaps parts of Suffolk and another one likely weaker from south Wales towards north eastern parts of England. Both of these should move slightly SSE after forming in the afternoon and fade into the evening having formed along wind convergence zones forcing PV lobes in those 2 areas it appears, the southern mode having more energy to work with. Cloud coverage and saturation appears to be quite high in most areas limiting the lightning potential of showers and how many showers form. 100+ J/KG of 3CAPE in arwas may help with that but not much. Some small hail is possible because of the energy but most of it is held in the low-levels. Weak shearing limits that again.
  4. Right. 10% hatched risk for tonight. Potentially strong tornadoes and large hail tonight.
  5. Quite the most incredible radar and cone to multi vortex tornado. Lots of photos taken from Twitter from lots of different accounts:
  6. Sleet haily rainy mix went horizontal at such a strength you could see the curtains falling even in the dark for about 20 seconds.
  7. I was supposed to have a forecast out today but unfortunately the person that makes the maps couldn't make one today. Heres my discussion. A trough behind an occluded front should bring heavy showers to the south coast. A Theta-E lobe advecting northwards with the trough will allow for channel and south coast showers throughout the afternoon and evening behind a clearing occluded front to the north and east which may also bring the risk of the odd sporadic lightning strike earlier in the day to a lot of the country but the risk is quite low. This moisture convergence should form widespread clusters of showers, some reaching 7km tall or around 23,000 feet potentially. Given relatively high shearing and 100+ J/KG of 3CAPE in areas, lightning is likely but mostly should be sporadic because of the messy nature of the showers and given similar events, very little could come out of the lightning but if they linger into the evening and scatter, I've seen lightning increase then. Small chance of a Supercell and potentially a tornado mainly in the SE given the shearing but apart from that, there's really little support for either except low LCL's. Small hail may form but I wouldn't say is likely just given that the MLCAPE is mostly quite weak and mixed in at the warmer lower levels rather than where the temperature is below freezing. High saturation for a lot of the south also limits lightning but having looked at many soundings, the saturation varies a lot from place to place and some areas have very weak saturation with favourable lightning conditions just miles away from high saturation and unfavourable lightning conditions. It's a very messy setup which makes it a bit more difficult to forecast for specifics.
  8. If you think we have it bad with Storm setup busts, look at the CINH on this sounding, any setup would be a bust . Not much buoyancy in that atmosphere either.
  9. East Chicago Indiana tornado on Facebook
  10. Tornado on Adam Lucio's stream it appears. Mean storm.
  11. Reed dominating as usual, already up close and personal with the crazy storms of course. Started off very quickly. Got close to a funnel cloud that was just about touching the ground and as always with Reed it was a "Big time tornado" but definitely a fast start.
  12. WeatherArc I've got a driving lesson at 6:45 so I may as well stay up for it ha ha. For early season this is a ridiculously high end potential but very very conditional.
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