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Anthony Burden

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  1. Morning all, GFS not giving up on a sting in the tail for March will the SSW show it’s late hand or not that is the question.Personally high pressure bringing dry weather where ever it’s position be it northern blocking or not is what we desperately need in England to dry out.
  2. Morning all,GFS keen as usual in fantasy island to bring high level blocking nearly 3 weeks after SSW occurred,still a possibility of a colder end to March on the cards.
  3. Evening all,GFS in fantasy island smelling the products of SSW ie northern blocking with polar blast over UK,would match the 10/14 day usually taken after a major SSW to show it’s hand regarding northern blocking.Very interesting in weather terms to find the final outcome of this situation.
  4. Evening all,ECM showing the colder outlook with positioning and orientation of high pressure still all eyes on SSW and what happens around the middle of March to high level blocking.
  5. Morning all,ECM/GFS /UKMO/ICON all showing some very cold air in Europe in fantasy island all about the positioning and orientation of the Scandinavian high if it starts to filter over the UK.Nothing clear cut as yet,interesting to say the least one thing certain no spring like weather on show as far as I’m concerned.
  6. Morning all,charts this morning continue with this northeastern blocking versus Atlantic lows will be interesting to see if this time blocking wins the battle and keeps the CET for March below average.May take a while yet as usual to see the winner,but keeps the interest on a late spring any bets.
  7. Derecho Hi yes you are totally correct as we can only give a 95% to 120hrs but I feel this major SSW of which we are still learning a lot about is where I have based my opinion on,of course it is just my personal opinion.
  8. Morning all,northern blocking now looks 90% which is very high in terms of weather so slightly different ideas in that less cold air from the Atlantic lows will mix with the northern blocking especially in the south this may or may not happen lots of uncertainty with that scenario at present.March has a 75% of being below the average CET so generally a cold wintery month is on the cards after one of the wettest mild February on record,what you don’t get today you will sure has he’ll get tomorrow.
  9. Evening all,ECM firming up on this northern blocking with low pressure to the south feeding in this progressively colder easterly feed.March looking more and more wintery with the effects of the major SSW showing it’s hand nothing would surprise me regarding this coming month including the white stuff.
  10. Evening all,charts beginning to show a cold easterly from northern blocking after a rather cold changeable period,GEM may be a bit extreme at 240 hrs but the writing looks to be on the wall for a cold march due to major SSW,possibly a below CET with spring on hold.
  11. Morning all,ECM very interesting at the unreliable 216/240 hrs with a Scandinavian block that has mild 850 hpa with a south/easterley feed but that could change very quickly into much colder air stream,one to keep an eye on possible SSW showing it’s hand.
  12. Met4Cast Hi a usually safe statement to make with global warming,but I feel spring will be held up for sometime I don’t think we have to wait to long to find out the effects of this major SSW.
  13. Morning all,as I mentioned before it’s looking like spring could be on hold for sometime the charts showing a day or so mildish the rest on the cold side with even some snow for some.With the polar vortex well and truly shredded and a solid wind reversal the effects of this could be substantial for northern blocking within 10 days or so,March CET temperatures will be very interesting I think this site will be very active this March for cold lovers.
  14. Evening all.GFS deep into fantasy island possibly picking up this major SSW with northern blocking showing its hand.A definite chance that March could have a below CET and turn out a cold over all month.
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