Jump to content
Problems logging in? ×
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?

NewEra21

Members
  • Posts

    701
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Profile Information

  • Gender
    Male
  • Location
    Bury St Edmunds, Suffolk
  • Weather Preferences
    Cold, frost and snow

Recent Profile Visitors

1,043 profile views

NewEra21's Achievements

Seasoned

Seasoned (10/14)

  • 500 items posted
  • 30 days in a row
  • Dedicated
  • Week One Done
  • One Month Later

Recent Badges

2.3k

Reputation

  1. The chase is over for this winter imo, time is ticking and every push back is edging closer to March now. Not to say we won’t get a cold spring of course! But this winter has been a huge let down, like so many of late. One year, one year things will fall right again. But in this modern warming world, it’s one hell of a chase to get there unfortunately for the UK.
  2. The ECM is just laughable this morning, we finally get the right Synoptics and an easterly flow. Yet there’s literally no cold whatsoever to tap into! Typical of our luck!
  3. This winter is just slipping away unfortunately, another chance gone begging. No doubt we’ll finally hit the jackpot once March arrives!
  4. GFS has often latched onto things first this winter with the other models slowly coming back round to the GFS. So say what you want about the GFS, but it’s got things overall more correct than not this winter imo.
  5. Those Iberian heights just won’t drop for long enough this winter to allow any real chance of prolonged cold. Pretty sure once Spring arrives, those heights will be nowhere to be seen. As always!
  6. Well if the GFS does end up being correct, it’s beginning to look like the ship has sailed for this winter. Barring something special right at the end of Feb. GFS really is worst case scenario stuff!
  7. Looking at the models this morning I really can’t see much of interest, the GFS op is the only real promising run and that itself is very much on the colder side against the mean. Hopefully somewhere see’s a dumping late next week, outside of that I don’t see anything of note. Looking at mid month onwards now.
  8. I feel like that SSW earlier this month no matter how short it was, absolutely ruined the prospects for the remainder of winter. It wasn’t strong enough to blow the NH open, but enough to end our cold chances. Usually we’re relying on a SSW, but this year it hit at exactly the wrong time. Things were looking promising for January, then that shook things up a little and this is the result of where we find ourselves now. I’ve no doubt come late Feb/Early March we’ll see what we wish we could see now. But it takes something truly special at that time of year. Aka 2018
  9. It’s the same old story every winter, don’t worry it’s only December. January and February look promising, just for January to go down the pan as always and then February goes out with a whimper with a slight cold chase at the beginning of March. I understand some got lucky over the past week, but for the south it’s been terrible in terms of snow all winter.
  10. We really need a true easterly BFTE down here. Troughs embedded in the flow etc etc. These northerly set ups and lows approaching from the SW rarely cut it nowadays. Cold enough and we can’t get any precip in, get the precip in and it will turn the wrong side of marginal. Very rare to hit the jackpot with sliding lows nowadays.
  11. Next week looks nothing more than a bog standard cold spell now, a few frosty days with some snow in Scotland. Don’t get me wrong, we’ll all take those cold, dry frosty days after this soggy winter. But this is not what we thought we were all chasing, such a watered down cold spell to what could have been.
  12. Hopefully that low can push up far enough north to give those further south something midweek next week. Otherwise it’s looking very meh in terms of snow potential for the region. Northerlies never really cut it this far south, unless we can get a trough unexpectedly coming down in the flow. This week just gone looked far more exciting with the Easterly flow at the beginning of the week.
  13. This has been such a long chase and it’s definitely going to turn much, much colder next week. Hopefully we all see some unexpected surprises pop up when it comes to snow. But what was potentially on the table that we thought we were chasing a week or two ago, you can’t help but be a little deflated with how next week may actually play out.
  14. A GFS op run in the middle of the pack would be nice for a change. Always seems to be outlier territory in the mid range!
  15. Let’s just get the northerly down on Sunday/Monday and then see what happens. The whole of next week looks cold and I’m sure there will be a surprise or two. Once the cold is in, more often than not surprises pop up. I wouldn’t even look at the following weekend just yet!
×
×
  • Create New...