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topo

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Everything posted by topo

  1. Substantially different from ECM, GEM and GFS 12z at 216 hours...
  2. Terrible run, once again the cold prospects are postponed.
  3. It seems that ECM is a warm outlier towards 240.. And probably the best ensembles of the last days
  4. But is it a response due to SSW, or just a random event? Look at the ECM ensembles for Oslo. There is a liftoff after the 26th of February..
  5. I'm wondering if the good and constant snow cover we have in Scandinavia, can help High pressure to built more easily?? Or is it just too local, and it depends only in the global circulation?
  6. It seems that more records are to be broken soon. https://www.accuweather.com/en/winter-weather/polar-vortex-christmas-weather-cold-forecast/1385381 https://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/ECMOPNA12_192_2.png
  7. Parallel is the operational from today onwards.. "Parallel GFS is for model update from version 16.2 to 16.3. This update will be made operational on November 30th 2022."
  8. Exactly!!! Major change and probably the first snowfall in the southeastern coastal parts of Norway.
  9. According to the models we are heading towards the warmest November on record in most of Scandinavia
  10. Looks like a classic February type of setup with this Scandi High. Has that ever happened in November? PS. Look at that lovely GEM control run
  11. Sorry but I have to repost, blizzard in Athens chaos in the streets more than 30cm in the suburbs and more to come. The national road, about 200m elevation in Athens https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L5Q35fPLbJI
  12. BTW have a look at eastern Greece. Thundersnow https://en.sat24.com/en/gr/visual Acropolis can't be seen due to snowstorm https://www.skylinewebcams.com/en/webcam/ellada/atiki/athina/acropolis.html Blizzard in the suburbs Some amazing pictures will follow the next days..
  13. On the other hand, this pattern is definitely better than the strong polar vortex pattern of 2020.. There is potential out there, even if it does not verify at all. At least there is something, with a polar low close to Moscow, and not this catastrophic Eurasia High which destroys completely the winter for the whole of Europe
  14. New snow records in south east Norway. 40-60 cm on the coast, 1metre of snow a bit further inland
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