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NApplewhite

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Everything posted by NApplewhite

  1. September is a very tricky month! sometimes the first two weeks are settled i remember that very warm autumn back in 2002 i think (correct me if i am wrong) that had a heatwave until Mid-November I remember 1986 being a fine foggy month.
  2. I'm assuming everyone is at work and given up on summer and we are now waiting for the snow lovers to start posting in November onwards.
  3. Yes the forums are very quiet. The outputs are showing cool unsettled and windy weather so i think the GEFS P20 is an outlier.
  4. Yes very much like we are going to suffer an early autumn. Im glad im off to Greece for a week on the 22nd to avoid this. Some major fluctuations in the GFS - last night they were showing high pressure in these time frames now low pressure! Enjoy today as its the last day of the Tropical heat .
  5. Low Pressure returns and jet stream fires up at + 8 day range Uk left on cold side of the much more powerful jet that exits Canada and our old friend the Iceland low sweeps across the UK bringing temperatures down to just 13 in Northern England and North Wales. Summer ends next Tuesday 18th August. Week commencing 24th August looks distinctly cool and wet!
  6. Heat swept away by Saturday with low pressure all the following week centred over the Republic of Ireland Rain only over the land! remarkable! ECMWF shows very unsettled cool conditions all next week.
  7. Temperatures to plummet Sunday onwards for another week down to below average/average. Eg 15 degrees in north Wales. The weather is returning back to June/JUly types with constant low pressure and NW winds. early autumn on the way based on the models
  8. ECMWF 00 model is out and it shows a cooling off from Sunday to Wednesday next week as a low pressure system established itself over the UK. Much lower temperatures by the 19th August as the Scandi high remains and the azores high ridges north allowing the jetstream to move leaving us on the much colder side. Wet outlook for this week. Longer range is distinctly average.
  9. Ludlow is showing feels like temps of 40 degrees next Wednesday yes i know its a feels like temp not the air temp!
  10. Amazing charts but why are all the weather apps showing 22 -27 for tomorrow up north but the temps on the 10 day forecast are in the 30s all week! why arent the apps keeping pace?
  11. Looks like a big temperature upgrade is coming Have a look at GFS 06Z (right) compared to GFS00Z (left) for next Thursday 13th August and the previous run . 2 degrees have been knocked off the highs for tomorrow (August 7th 2020) though across most places in England and Wales. I can see more changes by tonights 12Z.
  12. No heat in Wales still we miss out on the fun. Average temperatures apart from tomorrow. We can expect some thunderstorms though
  13. no upgrades at all. Look - this time last week they were predicting the whole of England and Wales were going to enjoy exceptionally how temperatures. Now its just the SE of england as usual while us in Wales are stuck with average summer temperatures and a "one day wonder" - not me its the met office saying this. Gutted is the word! We need a massive shift of 300 miles to the west of the warm air to bring Wales into the heat.
  14. For Wales we are facing a warm day on Friday then its game over. If the ECMWF medium range is to believe i will have the central heating on here and my hat gloves scarves and tights on to keep warm next Friday as we shiver up North
  15. 27 overnight in London only 16 here in Wrexham. Im only 161 miles from the capital
  16. Most weather apps are only going for 20 degrees on Saturday onwards! How can they ignore the Upper 850s! i dont understand. Sites like Accuweather always seem to massively understate or underpredict future temps1
  17. London showing 40 degrees on Monday. What is the exact town or city that hangs onto the imported SE heat? Ie where does the heat end in England? Looks like im only 161 miles from the heatwave! we just get one warm day.
  18. Last Sunday we were looking at blowtorch temps in Wrexham of 30 degrees for 3-4 days now we might squeeze out 1 day. The GFS has messed up again! I hate progressive charts!
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