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Everything posted by Cloud 10
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Model Output Discussion - 22nd Jan 2024 onwards
Cloud 10 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - 22nd Jan 2024 onwards
Cloud 10 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - 22nd Jan 2024 onwards
Cloud 10 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - 22nd Jan 2024 onwards
Cloud 10 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - 22nd Jan 2024 onwards
Cloud 10 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - 22nd Jan 2024 onwards
Cloud 10 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Overnight ECM det. run keen on another scandi high at only day 6 with good ensemble support as well. Maybe a less unsettled outlook than what looked liikely a couple of days ago? -
Model Output Discussion - 22nd Jan 2024 onwards
Cloud 10 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - 22nd Jan 2024 onwards
Cloud 10 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
So that's 4 ECM Ai runs per day. As if the rollercoaster wasn't bad enough. Also to note the SSW is pretty much underway now. -
Model Output Discussion - 22nd Jan 2024 onwards
Cloud 10 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Day 10 ENS. means doing pretty well generally,but a big plunge in the stats for mid-late February. https://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/users/verification/global/gefs/prod/atmos/grid2grid/hgt/ -
Model Output Discussion - 22nd Jan 2024 onwards
Cloud 10 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
phil nw. The ECM control run delivers pretty much what you describe is needed for a decent March cold spell. -
Model Output Discussion - 22nd Jan 2024 onwards
Cloud 10 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - 22nd Jan 2024 onwards
Cloud 10 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - 22nd Jan 2024 onwards
Cloud 10 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - 22nd Jan 2024 onwards
Cloud 10 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - 22nd Jan 2024 onwards
Cloud 10 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
12z GEM looking quite blocky,with a succession of troughs dropping down from the North backing further West each time. -
Model Output Discussion - 22nd Jan 2024 onwards
Cloud 10 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - 22nd Jan 2024 onwards
Cloud 10 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
What a bizarre run from the 18z,deep trough comes crashing in from the NW and then decides to have a love-in with the UK which results in a rather nasty storm. Not to be taken literally at this range of course,but one to keep an eye on. -
Model Output Discussion - 22nd Jan 2024 onwards
Cloud 10 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The models are keen on a deep trough dropping down from the NW later next week,so the next named storm could be on the cards. -
Model Output Discussion - 22nd Jan 2024 onwards
Cloud 10 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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AAM/GWO forecasts are a bit thin on the ground,but found these for anyone interested. https://atlas.niu.edu/forecast/aam/cfsv2_aam_fcst_current.png https://atlas.niu.edu/forecast/aam/GWO_members_current.png Both from this page: https://atlas.niu.edu/gwo/