Apologies, this is my first comment on netweather after following this excellent forum for many years. It is always very interesting to see how the computer models really struggle with scenarios away from the usual and how their accuracy is questionable more than 3 or 4 days out. But they are still good indicators of general trends. And the general trend is towards colder weather for the end of the month. How this manifests itself is in the hands of day to day synoptic. But after studying weather synoptics for some time I am fairly confident that a colder snap is on the way. The general synoptics suggest it, there is still the lingering impact of SSW. There maybe some global climate drivers that can negate these, but generally conditions for a colder period appear fairly positive.