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Vikos

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Everything posted by Vikos

  1. Backswing of the pendulum starts, this place will be buzzin‘ today
  2. as Long as the US are not blizzard‘ed, i am chilled, the pendulum will swing back to colder, soon…
  3. GFS under too much statistic influence (hyping the atlantic, I hope)
  4. Still no starting parameter… The zonal mean zonal wind at 10 hPa 60N is today (GFS analysis): 1.7 m/s
  5. it will happen tomorrow but will we see the big flip or just a flop?
  6. This is an Arctic Outbreak we would remember for a long time…
  7. @nick sussex did show that couple of days ago very good how the OP's flipped after taking the ssw into calculations in 2018
  8. http://178.62.112.79/prod/gfs/vertical_cross/umedel60.png looks promising
  9. Let it happen then see results. It’s still to early to watch for significant changes in the OPs From the ec site…
  10. Prologned reversal but not (yet) downwelling first chart with -winds gfs and some Japanese stuff to add which in my eyes doesn’t look very promising yesterday’s ec chart
  11. Looks like a split even better on wetterzentrale chart (can’t post right now)
  12. Institute of Meteorology - Working Group Atmospheric Dynamics - Stratosphere Diagnostics USERS.MET.FU-BERLIN.DE I find everything I need except a reversal at 10hpa
  13. Can you provide me a link please to those FU Berlin () charts? regards
  14. A bit offtopic but I will drop it here maybe someone will bookmark it. all actual charts with very good explanations of teleconnections like MJO, NAM and so on (see top off page) Madden-Julian Oscillation [MJO]: observed and Forecast values. WWW.FIRENZEMETEO.IT Madden-Julian Oscillation [MJO], current values and forecasts. Long range forecasts for Pacific and Indian oceans.
  15. I’d love to have trust in gfs but it fooled me big time not so long ago with some stunning easterly flow… and I said to myself not to be fooled again. So many times.
  16. I don’t have a lot of faith in the mean as some strong members/signals can drag it up or down just enough that it either shows a reversal or not. We have to play the waiting game for a few days more…
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