O'Maille80

Met Eireann further outlook (Sunday onwards) looks promising: Further Outlook: Turning colder with northeast to east winds feeding in wintry showers at times. Hard ground frosts can be expected at night.

Solid gfs 06z and very similar to a lot of the 00z gef ensembles.

The ECM has been rubbish this winter outside 5 days. Delighted with the last few days output and expect ECM to come back in line by Sunday.

Thats 72 hr.

Are we entering the most exciting week of model watching since 2018? Things are starting to get very interesting, that's for sure.

True. Suppose the main point to take from the models at the moment is cold is never far away.

True . Encouraging signs.

Such a wind up, just when you think the North will win those bloody iberian heights keep fighting back. Let's hope they're being over egged.

I'm certainly a gambler. Good point you make too. I just want a snow day and I'd be happy out. Personally I don't want a month long freeze but I want to see some snow fall for a a few hours and hang around for a few days.

Wouldn't mind the Gem coming to pass mind. Snow galore.

It seems to be a rinse and repeat pattern between cold to the north east and those pesky iberian heights coming in and ruining everything. When will it end.

Some snow in the Irish Sea. The mountains must be getting buried.

First decent snow of the winter. Snowed heavily for half an hour and every flake has stuck. Easing now a bit.

John Hammond's Month Ahead - Midwinter meteorological mayhem WEATHERTRENDING.COM Snow fans are going through an emotional rollercoaster this winter but meteorologist John Hammond tries to inject some calm to the forecast.

That's chart is a day old. Para has stopped running.

MONTHLY FORECAST, ISSUED TUESDAY 19 JANUARY 2021 Week 1 (Friday 22 January to Thursday 28 January) With low pressure dominant across Ireland and most of northern Europe for this period, Ireland will lie in an unsettled, mainly westerly airflow. This will lead to normal or slightly above normal precipitation across the country. The west and southwest in particular will see wetter than normal conditions as this Atlantic regime brings frontal systems from the west. However, a northwesterly component to this airflow will bring slightly colder than normal temperatures for much of the country, with the northern half of the country expected to be coldest. Week 2 (Friday 29 January to Thursday 04 February) Low pressure continues its dominance over Ireland and much of northern Europe for this period. This will maintain similar conditions to the previous week, with low pressure systems passing near or over Ireland, bringing largely unsettled conditions. Again, precipitation will be slightly above normal for many parts of the country as these low pressure systems bring outbreaks of rain at times. However, temperatures will generally return closer to normal for the time year, apart from in parts of the north and northwest, which are indicated to be slightly cooler than normal. Week 3 (Friday 05 February to Thursday 11 February) This period brings an increase in uncertainty but current indications suggest that low pressure south of Ireland and high pressure to the north will bring a dominantly easterly airflow over the country. This easterly airflow will bring near normal or slightly colder than normal temperatures across Ireland, with a risk of frosts at night. Much of the country will experience near normal rainfall, with the northwest indicated to be drier than normal. However, the south and east coasts are indicated to be slightly wetter than normal as the easterly flow will feed showers from the Irish Sea into these areas. There is potential for some showers to turn wintry given the cold temperatures. Week 4 (Friday 12 February to Thursday 18 February) Confidence in this period is low at this stage. However, current indications for this period suggest that Ireland will lie between low pressure to the east and high pressure to the west. This will establish a more northerly airflow over the country, bringing cooler than normal conditions to most areas. However, this week is also indicated to be more settled than previous periods with slightly drier than normal conditions in many areas. - Met Eireann Long Range Forecast.

Even when we do get a bit of cold in where's the precipitation? Thankless task looking for snow for the vast majority of us.

This winter is turning out to be very frustrating. Looks like we will be chasing 10 day charts well into February. If something is going to happen it's going to have to happen soon.

Why didn't the gfs para 06z run? Is that a common occurrence?

Even the gfs para has given up.

Still reckon the further North you are the better your snow chances are at the end of next week. Was looking at the GFS perts and most of the snowy charts favoured the north. Fingers crossed we all see some white stuff next week.

Could mean heavy snowfall at times if the right conditions line up.

GFS para is a gem. Bank.

Looks like northern counties are looking best placed for next week. I'm a bit underwhelmed at the output but hopefully time for things to change.

Wouldn't mind GFS pert 24 coming off. There's a lot of decent cold runs in the ensembles, especially around 25th Jan onwards.