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mushymanrob

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mushymanrob last won the day on August 9 2015

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  • Gender
    Male
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    chellaston, derby
  • Interests
    music, metal detecting, weather, nature, history, life, spirituality and science.

    i love the seasons, i love mild februarys, it reminds me of my childhood exploring the countryside. making dens in hedgerows, sheltering from the rain, hearing the mistle thrush singing as the mild sw wind blows dark clouds across the sky. many records from the mid 60's remind me of these times.. overlanders 'michelle'. 'keep on running' , 'uptight', 'little by little' (dusty).. then back to our coal fired home to watch 'robinson crusoe' , jackanory, blue peter, thunderbirds .. this is why the bartlett to me is welcome. i love the spring. the first catkins, celendines, ladysmock, nests, the countryside in spring is heaven.
    i love the heat in summer, the hot southerly draft, 'trance' music is so apt, i love the thunderstorms too.
    in the notorious winter of 81, i had to work outdoors , ive never been so cold. i felt sick and numb with it. i think thats when i lost interest in snow/cold.

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  1. mushymanrob

    Observations Of Nature Through The Seasons.

    comma butterfly catterpillar
  2. noaa anomaly charts dont support any pattern change either way, retaining the brisk upper westerly which will prevent anything other then transitory ridging. but with positive heights across most of southern uk theres no great problem with rain, in fact the rather dry theme looks set to continue for some time away from the northwest. a lot of pleasant summery weather then, with the warmest/sunniest in the south/southeast.
  3. youre forgetting a lot of eastern areas didnt get a 'glorious' may, a lot of us away from the west was plagued by cloud.
  4. i wouldnt worry, the anomaly charts dont suggest much troughing (over us) over the next 2 weeks as pressure is predicted to be on the +ive side of neutral. a lot of fairly decent 'normal' summers weather to see june out, mainly dry too away from the northern half of the country. theres no washout , nor any heatwave, just a lot of pleasant warm dry summery weather. cant be bad, unless youre in the northern half of the uk of course.
  5. mushymanrob

    Noctilucent Clouds Season 2018

    nowt here in derby on monday night, but someone saw them in tamworth, which is south of derby... i reckon i live in a nocticlucent shadow..
  6. yes, the anoms appear to be suggesting the azores high becoming a much more influential player, ridging closer, and providing a lot of fine summery weather for the south at least, with the worst conditions as usual in the northwest. maybe no heatwave just yet, but a lot of pleasant weather in between weakening systems . looking pretty dry to for most of us away from the northwest. itll be interesting to watch this evolution further, will the azh sit to our west? or will it displace or give birth to a seperate ridge that will bring some heat?.. either way the outlook isnt bad away from the northwest and pretty promising id have thought.
  7. worst, or best? lol imho we havnt had many real good thunderstorms in the last 45 years. ok, there are exceptions, but these have been largely localised affairs with single cell storms. in the 60's and early 70's , i first recorded storms, as they followed a pattern. they would come up from france, in a line. we would get a southeasterly, it would be rather cloudy/bright. the southwest would turn dark first, as these storms came at an angle, so west of where i was (breaston, between derby notts) would look like getting it first. then upwind of us would get dark, and it departed to our east last. there was always an area of updraft, where black clouds billowed spectacularly before the base of the cloud - dark grey and misty arrived. and thats where the thunder and lightning was. afterwards, the sun came out! no 4 days of grey gloom that we seem to get now. the thunder and lightning was intense though, real violent cracks, forked lightning too, hail stones sometimes quite big. these storms hit everyone, they came in lines, they always provided , and were totally unlike todays fart fest of a thunderstorm...in fact most of todays activities i wouldnt even honour it by calling it a 'storm'. although i remember them back to 1966, the first one i recorded, rudimentarily was actually exactly 48 years ago today! although im not so sure it was up from france as it was before i recorded charts. other very noteable storms that followed described habit 1/8/72 (or 31/7/72 - not sure, no longer have records) 24/6/73 extremely violent thunderstorm 15/9/73 classic as described after a very hot muggy bright day. worth noting too that 9/7/81 south derby had a cloudburst, in a violent but local storm. we had 3" of rain in an hour, leaving flooding everywhere. but that was localised and from the west.
  8. mushymanrob

    Changes to images in posts

    nope... links still there...
  9. mushymanrob

    Changes to images in posts

    lets see now
  10. mushymanrob

    Changes to images in posts

    nope.... see, the problem i have is that after uploading a pic, any further text also links to the image , underlined... what am i doing wrong?
  11. mushymanrob

    Changes to images in posts

    lets see... if the link is seperate.
  12. wet. dull and wet here in derby.
  13. i guess im clutching at straws, but doesnt the 8-14 day chart suggest the azh shifting a bit further eastward with slight pressure rise to our south and indeed across the uk in comparison to the 6-10 day chart? so maybe not quite as unsettled ?. (or wet lol)
  14. sick to death of this bloody north sea cloud.... but at least its dry...
  15. it was Johns observations on these charts several years ago that 'converted' me to them (as highlighted in the post above). the noaa ones in particular. if you really want to know whats most likely to happen, then these charts are the best. they dont vary as much as the ops which might make them a bit boring for some people. but if you get the upper flow right, then the surface conditions are easier to get right too ... no?.. well it works for me most of the time, viewing those will point you to which of the op runs are most likely to be nearer the mark. but of course if you enjoy the variability of the ops, and like being led up the garden path sometimes, then thats fine lol. as for it 'not happening yet' , true, but when the noaa anomaly charts have been consistent and other model suits have been slow to fall in line, before eventually agreeing, i for one will not place any monies on this outcome being inaccurate! much as i do not want it, a period of low pressure dominance in some form (detail to be resolved) for next week is now pretty likely imho, unless these charts change, which sadly, is unlikely.
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