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mushymanrob

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mushymanrob last won the day on August 9 2015

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    chellaston, derby
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    music, metal detecting, weather, nature, history, life, spirituality and science.

    i love the seasons, i love mild februarys, it reminds me of my childhood exploring the countryside. making dens in hedgerows, sheltering from the rain, hearing the mistle thrush singing as the mild sw wind blows dark clouds across the sky. many records from the mid 60's remind me of these times.. overlanders 'michelle'. 'keep on running' , 'uptight', 'little by little' (dusty).. then back to our coal fired home to watch 'robinson crusoe' , jackanory, blue peter, thunderbirds .. this is why the bartlett to me is welcome. i love the spring. the first catkins, celendines, ladysmock, nests, the countryside in spring is heaven.
    i love the heat in summer, the hot southerly draft, 'trance' music is so apt, i love the thunderstorms too.
    in the notorious winter of 81, i had to work outdoors , ive never been so cold. i felt sick and numb with it. i think thats when i lost interest in snow/cold.

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  1. hi it isnt 1 model run though, these charts have consistently suggested a retrogression of the mean upper trough sited initially to our east, then over us , eventually to our west on a series of consecutive charts. As such their consistency suggests a strong likelyhood of pretty high accuracy as John Holmes discovered when he studied the accuracy of these charts a while ago. It is now the method i employ myself as i want to know what is actually most likely to happen and not get lead up the garden path by inconsistent operational FI predictions. I guess though if these charts were suggesting a cold spell, theyd be believed more...lol..
  2. hmmm... not so sure, if this chart verifies, and its evolution has been consistent and plausible, the run up to Christmas is looking mild and unsettled with a mean southwesterly. Id have thought this chart is about as far away from a cold spell as you could expect.
  3. note the 528 dam line across northern areas... snow showers?
  4. bib... completely agree , i detest the jim davidsons of this world, always did and was fully behind the alternative comedy scene which like laurel and hardy, created characters you laughed at instead of the finger pointing davidsons ohh look at that *insert minority of choice* lets laugh at him/her. ive not been to a panto since the 60's, in fact i think the only one i did go to was to see harry worth... so about '64, '65. if they stand at a microphone and insult people then im fully behind you. nor am i against changes, but i am if these changes are motivated by politically correct reasons, because the evidence is that past comedy greats couldnt be made today because of political correct reasons. who looked the bigger fool? basil or manuel? the same with "it aint half hot mum", the char wallers were sympathetically portrayed and were no more lampooned then the white servicemen, in fact windsor davis invariably was the one who had the p took out of him the most.
  5. you said "Lampooning is (wrt the present discussion) easy and just a cover for insults" i listed comedies that employed lampooning , so are you suggesting that comedies like dads army are built on insults? Was Fawlty towers "insulting"? etc. Theres a difference in employing something that could be considered as "insulting" when used in a comedic contex, and a downright nasty slur.
  6. Any ideas on why the jet stream appears to be so strong? there seems to be a lot of energy , possibly more then usual?
  7. lets live in a sterile world then, where theres no comedy, just in case someone gets all offended. thats my idea od boring, glib, fatuous. .... unless of course its trump or a brexiteer... they are fair game for insults after all.... huh. those shows i listed are funny because we are insulting, or laughing, at ourselves, at the overwhelmingly white british male. take "it aint half hot mum", all the characters are sending up stereotypes of which most are white straight male british. but it got banned because michael bates blacked up and portrayed sympathetically , an indian person. he got praise for that off the indian community, and the char-wallers were no more the but of the jokes then the white british males...in fact windsor davis's character was the fall guy in most of the sketches.
  8. ridiculous....no one is suggesting they can. when was the last time steptoe, dads army, hi de hi, fawlty towers, father ted, royle family used those terms?.. were they really used in pantos? i dont know, ive not been to one this side of 1968! but i doubt if most of those terms were used. if you look at the great british comedies were have produced, youll see that they lampoon EVERYONE , those comedies i mentioned takes the p1$$ out of white straight males 90% of the time!!! and from memory, the only time i can recall those racist terms (which you seem to enjoy using) was on till death us do part...a program that took the p1$$ out of the very person they were portraying. other then that, it was low brow itv stand up "comedians" like the vile jim davidson so your post is ridiculous, because NO ONE is suggesting "we" are uspet about that.... we are NOT defending that at all, ..
  9. its not change thats the problem (although why change a tradition is rather odd) its the reason its being changed thats of concern. If the changes are because of politically correct reasons, and the fear of offending someone, then yes, its wrong. political correctness has already stiffled comedy, its all so safe now, great comedies like fawlty towers and father ted cannot be made now, all because they employ whats seen as racial stereotypes. Well so bloody what! Identifying stereotypes has been the backbone of british comedy, from steptoe/hancock, through dads army, hi de hi, young ones, blackadder, royle family, etc etc etc.
  10. Updates aside, to my eye they look pretty similar and suggest a cool unsettled mobile pattern dominating for the next two odd weeks. Yes we will get occassional colder blasts, but no pattern chance. All over the tinternet there hyperbole at one or two GFS runs that suggested snow. Theres no pattern change though, just a 48odd hour cold blast that might deliver some transitory snow for some. Nothing to get excited about imho. As i see it, theres too much energy for blocking and a lengthier cold spell to emerge going off current outputs and the timeframe they pertain too.
  11. thank you. so in essence, its still just possible to get a strat induced white christmas , but it more likely afterwards, assuming these predictions go accordingly and with only a 66% chance anyway...
  12. so assuming these predictions are correct, and in around 3 days time (out to about the 19th) and a reversal looks likely - how long would that take to propgate downwards to the surface and give us a cold spell?... and what are the chances of a reversal getting down to the surface to give us a cold spell ....... sorry for my ignorance..
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