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Everything posted by XtremeUKWeather
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Model output discussion - Jan 3rd onwards
XtremeUKWeather replied to bluearmy's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Lovely positive post and I just wanted to add , if nothing happens in the final third of Jan we always have Feb and March and with more warmings showing on models it’s all to play for -
Model output discussion - Jan 3rd onwards
XtremeUKWeather replied to bluearmy's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - Jan 3rd onwards
XtremeUKWeather replied to bluearmy's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Ive noticed this with GFs past few days , it gets that high going north but its never enough and the arcitc high never is strong enough Im assuming not enough downwelling -
Model output discussion - Jan 3rd onwards
XtremeUKWeather replied to bluearmy's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - Jan 3rd onwards
XtremeUKWeather replied to bluearmy's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I thought something was similar ECM has it similar but this time actually shoots the high up only searching for patterns right now and keep expectations low -
Model output discussion - Jan 3rd onwards
XtremeUKWeather replied to bluearmy's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes i know i shouldn't be comparing to 2018 but i noticed these similarities , with some differences in the NH profile , but i wanted to point out the high pushing north from UK on GFS para today This may be useless, what do you guys think? -
Model output discussion - Jan 3rd onwards
XtremeUKWeather replied to bluearmy's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - Jan 3rd onwards
XtremeUKWeather replied to bluearmy's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
v cold on Friday from UKMOGFS still messy with the cold I think its because GFS has that to our south +72hours and still not accurate my god -
Model output discussion - Jan 3rd onwards
XtremeUKWeather replied to bluearmy's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
All 3 are now different -
Model output discussion - Jan 3rd onwards
XtremeUKWeather replied to bluearmy's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The highs seems to maybe connect , which could bring iin a long fetch north easterly Only if UKMO went out one more day This high flattening and all sorts everyones saying could end up good in the long run a SSW happening rn above us and weve just seen GFS change over to UKMO and ECM for +120 hrs, so theres always a chance we still see major swings One more point, is that like some mentioned earlier that westerly winds needs to be 'flushed' out even tho they are weak, Models could be reacting to that hence this output, And those reversal winds come back straight after All part of the downwelling process i assume -
Model output discussion - Jan 3rd onwards
XtremeUKWeather replied to bluearmy's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - Jan 3rd onwards
XtremeUKWeather replied to bluearmy's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - Jan 3rd onwards
XtremeUKWeather replied to bluearmy's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - Into 2021
XtremeUKWeather replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion