Easton Luna Boys

Hi Richard, I'm not sure how old you are, but to say it has been one of the top wintry periods in your life, really?? For those that saw anything, it was a band of heavy snow showers that hit a small but densely populated area of the SE, followed by 8 days of cold and frosty but very dry weather which obviously kept the white stuff around for longer than a few days which is usually the case. But to say it's in the top 10, I'd have to dispute that.

Yes, always the way, but not quite as bad as on the other side; venturing into their Model Output Discussion forum this morning you'd have thought you were in the Moaning Thread; it was full of toys and dummy throwing and unsavoury in-fighting attacks on users who predicted this upcoming mild spell when others either refused to see it, or were consumed with the usual rose tinted cold model bias. Some of the so called self proclaimed experts on there really should know better. No wonder members have left in their droves. A shell of its former self.

Yes, and despite the models 5 days ago showing promising precipitation more widely, all we have is temps around zero in a bone dry northerly. Looks like this event has been over hyped like a Meghan and Harry expose.

Yes, as I mentioned yesterday, wise heads and caution are needed as ever. We go through this every year with the "greatest charts I've ever seen..." posts making their annual appearance. It's been no different since 2001 on this and the other site. Some forget that we are a temperate - not continental climate! At least the energy bills won't be put under too much strain

Wiser heads know not to get over excited so far out. You need CMA @ 24... and it can STILL go wrong at that timescale.

You seriously think that the climate of 4 billion years has changed "massively" in 12 years???

For the sake of those of us who have to pay our energy bills, let's hope not

Yes, sorry you're right. I must have thought for a minute that we didn't have cross model agreement at 144...

Think some are falling into the perennial trap of over-egging the model pudding. Far from CMA here. The continent has been mild and with SSTs higher than average, expect things to become tempered as we move through the week to next weekend. Hopefully so as unless you live at home with parents or don't have to worry about the cost of energy, a cold spell is the last thing any of us needs.

Well they most likely won't be wrong in the mdorn eara. Apart from a heads or tails SSW over the last several years, there really has been nothing to write home about in terms of cold and snow. Long may that continue as this kind of weather is excellent for getting out and about. And with the increase in energy costs and lower mortality rates (Fact; cold weather kills more people than extreme heat) then it's a win win all round

Yes, although all about perspective and perception of course. The positives are that there will be a lot of usable weather to get ahead with all of those garden jobs before the buds of Spring. Excellent conditions for walking and of course, the real boon is that there won't be a particularly onerous burden on our heating systems, be that central or otherwise, so cheaper bills all round. Great for old folk and drivers alike

Tbh I think more caution needs to be applied for those south of the midlands. Some are banking -10 uppers on a 'clean' Easterly feed but at this range, it's far from certain. There's just too much warmer air in the mix to our south east. Get more of a SE feed and the likes of Kent could be more concerned about flooding rather than the white stuff. Remember; cross model agreement is <T48!

Or Feb 19 all over again When it comes to SSW be careful what you wish for!

But it's not like we haven't been here before! I'm not sure why there is genuine shock and disappointment here? The golden rules had not yet been set; cross model agreement @144. Confidence in <-5 uppers (NOT marginal).

C'mon, how many times have we spoken about this; they are all much of a muchness - one will outperform the other (marginally) only to have its statistical wings clipped by its competitor the next day. NAVGEM anyone?