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Everything posted by The4Seasons
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Bullseye . I am right under the centre of Evert. Winds very calm, flat still. Pressure 993mb. Steady now. 14.6c and only the 1 bit of blue sky above.
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Tuesday to Wednesday Possible Wind storm
The4Seasons replied to The PIT's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Its very stormy here already in South wales. Trees making loud roaring noise. Rain slamming into the windows. Gusting about 65mph already. I am expecting a noisy night especially as it peaks at around 3 to 4am here. -
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Winter 2020/21 chat, ramps, moans and banter
The4Seasons replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Well I must say that I am already missing the cold spell. It looks like some places will see flooding soon in my area. Not what we want to see. Today marks the anniversary of when Wales saw severe flooding along the River Taff in Pontypridd after Storm Dennis a year ago. I sincerely hope this weekends rain does not bring back these scenes. -
Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards
The4Seasons replied to LomondSnowstorm's topic in Regional
Hey guys in the Scotland thread I thought that I would pop in to say hi and admire your snow or snaw photos . You wouldnt think it was winter down here in South Wales. Its like a spring day with dafs, crocus and snowdrops popping out with just a nip in the air and the odd passing flurry. I hope you enjoy your snow. Send some our way before winter is over -
To them we in Wales don't exist as being in the country. I saw Jay's post earlier. If we post that snow will affect Wales they go crazy. Abit embarrassing really. How old are they. They need to go back to school or shall we post a big dummy in the mod thread when things go wrong. The mods would run a million miles.
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Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?
The4Seasons replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I wouldn't worry about what happens in over 5 days away guys. So much is happening beforehand with snow events this weekend (battles between the warm and cold airmass). It will look different after they pass. So many fine lines drawn in at close range that will change the future modelling picture. In addition the ECM hasn't exactly been the best in forecasting in over 5 days recently. Constant chopping and changing like the rest of the models. Such a big difference tonight vs this morning. I would stick closer to the fax charts or to the nearer and now atm until volatility (fine balances between the warm/cold sector's) in the weather calms down. That boundary is constantly changing. Eventually one will be a clear winner. Theres no point in getting wound up over the weather. It will do what it pleases . Lets just enjoy the ride and watch it do its thing. There will always be winners and losers when it comes to cold and snow. And normally I am one of the losers as it doesn't often snow down in the south west. Most of you will get a better chance of seeing the white gold than me . Have a great night -
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