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Evening Star

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    Astronomy, Meteorology
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    Warm and sunny!

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  1. Evening Star

    Things that tick you off?

    Things that tick me off? The use of snowflake as a derogatory term...
  2. Problem is that it's impossible to directly test the accuracy of an analogue forecast (I mean it could be complete chance that it's correct). I suppose there's no harm using them in conjunction with other forecasting means...
  3. Yes -2°C for England does sound awfully low or the time of year, more what you'd expect in the Arctic.
  4. I keep seeing analogue forecasts being produced but I can't seem to find any information on their accuracy/reliability. Surely there are no "true" analogues to the pattern we are seeing now and hence analogue forecasts are of no use.
  5. Currently 12.2°C with a light 2 mph W breeze. Moderate 0.9mmh^-1 rain.
  6. Serious heat in Iberia possible next week. Warm for most of southern and eastern Britain. A robust area of high pressure over continental Europe?
  7. Yeah that would make more sense. It's just the meteorological definition uses two arbitrary dates (1st of June to 31st of August) which aren't special in any way. At least the astronomical definition uses the solstice and equinox as it's start and end points. For example, the meteorological definition states the 1st of March is the start of spring, however I'd hardly say the start of March is spring-like! I think a definition based on solar intensity would be cool (however the dates would change every year, like the astronomical ones do).
  8. Officially it still is. Statistically speaking no.
  9. From right to left; Helene, Isaac, Florence (18:00 UTC yesterday). Could these storms increase the risk of an unsettled autumn back home?
  10. Can I ask where you find the visible satellite images? Thanks.
  11. Don't understand this logic, we don't have to "pay" anything weatherwise. There is no good reason why the hot spell could not have continued apart from chance.
  12. I think it has exceeded UV 9 in parts of the UK in exceptional conditions. I experienced close to UV 16 in the blue mountains in Jamaica a few years ago and I can tell you it hurt!
  13. I have to say this would be almost dream-like, surreal. The perfect season in my eyes.
  14. Evening Star

    What did you think of Summer 2018?

    I can't wait until I get a summer of lots of sunshine and temperatures between 22 and 28 degrees Celsius by day. Wonder how long we'll have to wait to get a hot summer here?
  15. Evening Star

    Was global warming already detected before 1980?

    I don't understand why people deny climate change is happening. These same people are quite happy to accept atomic theory and gravitational theory but for some reason the theory of climate change is a no-go (despite the vast majority of climate SCIENTISTS understanding that AGW is real and serious).