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Zak M

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Zak M last won the day on August 5

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About Zak M

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    The never-ending storm.

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  • Gender
    Male
  • Location
    Bedfordshire
  • Interests
    Speedcubing, weather, football, athletics, and the almighty Spurs!
  • Weather Preferences
    Thunderstorms, warm/hot plumes, snow, anything severe

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  1. Lightning strike to my north 5 minutes ago! I set up my iPhone and managed to catch this beauty.
  2. Leg cramps = 💩

  3. If I was to guess where this forecast was located, I would guess Florida. Instead, it's located in stained glass windowing Heathrow.
  4. PJB over on UKWeatherWorld has posted a good explanation of what to possibly expect next week: "Good indications now for a surface & upper pattern to become established over NW Europe which would favour the development of Thunderstorms from Sunday through to Mid Week. A broad upper trough is likely to become quite slow moving to the west of the continent with a plume of very high 850mb temperatures to move north from Spain and France, Aloft however there will be areas of steeper or cooler mid level temperatures and 300-600mb shortwaves moving NE on the ascending side of the trough. At the surface High temperatures and areas of high Theta-w at 850mb are likely to be located in the South and SE for much of the period. Areas of elevated confluence and destabilisation are likely to take place during the period and i suspect quite difficult to forecast much more than 24 hrs ahead. Forecasting this will be quite tricky 1. How much moisture there is and how dry the lower layers get, models can at times in the 4-5 day range over do the model precipitation. 2. ECMWF has tended to overdo CAPE values and the development of Thunderstorms in the previous model cycle. Will be interesting to see how this new model cycle performs in the next few days given its had enhancements to the models CAPE and convection processes. 3. GFS has trended west with the development of a more active thundery plume development during mid week as a more robust shortwave moves north and pressure falls at the surface over N France and English Channel. Movement and development of such shortwave detail is prone to sig forecast errors at this range 4. Potential is there for some intense thunderstorms to develop over NW Europe with development of a Mid level wind max over parts of Central & Southern Parts early next week and considerable directional and speed sheer aloft 5. day to day variations in the models are likely with precipitation being developed in the model widely over differing locations inter model and intra model." Source: http://www.ukweatherworld.co.uk/forum/index.php?/topic/124384-convective-chat-august-2020/page__st__15
  5. The WRF-NMM has picked this up in its previous runs but the UKV currently isn't having any of it. We will get a clear picture of what will happen on that day in a few days time I think.
  6. It has been showing this in its 5 or 6 previous runs and it's 6 days away... so there definitely is a hint of big storms developing but it's just a matter of when and where
  7. Overnight minima of 26c?! Pretty impressive that!
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