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Everything posted by Joe Snow
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Some strong gusts between 11pm-12/1am last night but thankfully the south of the region was sheltered from the wrath of Storm Isha - no such luck for North Lancs northwards & in particular for Ireland, Scotland, West Wales & the IOM that saw the worst of Isha. Let’s see what Storm Jocelyn brings - it must be despite the early Dec & mid Jan cold snaps the stormiest autumn/ winter season since the infamous Winter 2013/14? Or maybe it just feels like that! ️ Today has been a breezy day, winds notably increasing locally this afternoon with a blustery shower mid afternoon not especially mild but not especially cold either. Can’t see anything particularly changing until mid Feb at the earliest now alternating between mild, very mild or close to average daytime temp wise with a more settled signal into early Feb.
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We’ll see what happens overnight but yeah not as strong a storm as forecast currently here just a wet & windy night but I don’t want to speak too soon as the peak is due over the next few hrs and we could get stung by some nasty gusts yet despite Cheshire’s relative shelter from the SW ️ Well at least it’s not snow ending up not as much as expected for once!
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Have seen a similar lull in the past hour things are gradually picking up again now though as a pulse of heavier rain moves through. Worst of the winds are forecast between 9pm-12midnight Took a glance at the latest radar and what looks to be a squall line looks to be moving out of Ireland towards us.
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Red Irish Met Warnings now just issued for the west & North West Coastal counties of Ireland. Widespread damage, disruption & power cuts likely for a part of the world that’s no stranger to Atlantic storms. Back in the UK I wonder whether we’ll see a nationwide upgrade to Amber I should think so given the potential for disruption into Monday mornings rush hour - latest GFS 00z gives peak winds up to 70mph here in inland NW England between 9pm & midnight tonight ️
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All eyes on Storm Isha tomorrow, winds already getting up here but winding the clock back to 20th Jan 2021, 3 yrs ago tonight and Storm Christoph’s heavy rain turned to very heavy snow over the region leaving 8-9cm here in S Cheshire in just a few hrs still the best heavy rain- snow event I’ve ever seen locally Let’s hope some cold, snowy weather returns for February
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Funny how the rain never struggles to find us here in the NW a much milder drizzly start - its a real shame the cold weather couldn’t have held on for the weekend as it is doing in the States They next week also are seeing a big warm up though from the big freeze they have been in this past week going against the myth that the UK & USA/ Canada can’t be cold at the same time, Washington DC seeing freezing -3c highs today, 16c/ 17c by the middle of next week.
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Yeah a 6/10 spell here it's a shame it couldn't have had more depth and severity but a reasonable cold spell, the NW probably seeing the best of the winter conditions out of all areas away from NI & Scotland - funnily enough last Winter 2022/23 saw some similar amounts of mid January snow locally too, had a 2-3cm fall here in Cheshire around the 18th Jan 23, following a very cold start to December not too dissimilar give or take a few days to this winter 2023/24 but this mid Jan 2024 cold snap certainly beating Jan 23 for overnight cold lows seeing -8c early Thursday morning, not quite the -9c/-10c seen in Dec 2022 though. A few very mild 12-14c days this coming week, a gradual cooling of temps to average, occasionally just below or slightly above average as well as a settling down of the weather late month into early February but I can't see much real wintry interest till around mid Feb 10th Feb onwards tbh now though.
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Have had locally 5 days of falling snow up to the 18th Jan so far this Winter 2023/ 24 yeah no more than 5cm but decent for NW England winter standards & considering how wet & mild this winter has been so far. Notable low temps too -5c in early Dec & -8c this morning Let’s see what February brings... something stirring from the East?? In the short term all eyes on the now likely named Storm Isha hitting Sun Night into Monday likely to be disruptive & with impacts
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Hopefully like Tues they’ll reach as Far South East as me here in Sandbach as it would be great to get another dusting - covering would be the icing on the cake to end this cold spell. Feeling v cold today a high of 2c after a low of -8c. Weekend is looking wet & windy, stormy even with Feb perhaps holding more wintry interest for us
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Yeah Woodford has its own microclimate it’s a shame there isn’t a official weather station there any more - NE Cheshire Poynton, Macclesfield, Woodford, Bramhall heading up into the Peak District - higher Poynton, Lyme Park, Marple that kind of area all do pretty well for Winter snow by NW England standards. There was 9cm on the ground here in South Cheshire when Woodford 20 miles away hit -16c in Jan 2010 when they had close to a ft of snow on the ground after the 5th Jan 2010 event. Rostherne, Knutsford & Reaseheath Hall, Nantwich stations are both pretty similar stations in terms of local climate - Reaseheath perhaps a bit more sheltered by the Welsh Hills and at a lower altitude slightly warmer in summer, lower recorded snow depths etc... Would have been better to have a station near Macclesfield for example & Reaseheath as Cheshire stations.
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Yeah Jan 2010 was the big freeze that saw BAE Woodford get as low as -16/-17c it’s a bit of a frost hollow there I think on relatively low ground at the edge of the nearby Peak District. You can get a great view of the Peaks on a clear day from the new Woodford Garden Village they have built there bet they had a gorgeous view in the Winter sunshine this afternoon. We are at -5c here now Whilst all eyes are on the cold & snow this week a likely named storm is creeping up on us for Sunday - looks particularly nasty for Cumbria/ North Lancs with 70-80mph locally 90mph+ on the latest UKV. Widely 50-65mph further south with heavy potentially squally outbreaks of rain pushing through.
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Looking good - BBC NW Tonight not mentioning it though - I’m guessing it’ll be a local 1-3cm covering affair if it materialises? From snow watch to temperature watch -3c here forecast low of -7c by early morning Coldest nights recently I’ve seen locally here in SE Cheshire has been: -9c (Dec 22, no snow cover) -12c (Big Freeze Dec 10, deep snow cover) -14c (Big Freeze Jan 2010, deep snow cover)