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Everything posted by Mr.B
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Model Output Discussion - the cold has arrived
Mr.B replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Just bonkers on the different opinions on here sometimes. No wonder newbies struggle to follow some of it. -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
Mr.B replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
1st rule! -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
Mr.B replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Another quick question as the ICON is coming out. On Meteociel web site is there a setting to get the chart to update automatically or can I view all of the model runs here on Netweather? Will they update automatically? TIA again -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
Mr.B replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
She's still with the Met Office -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
Mr.B replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Sorry to clog the thread, but what are the release times of the other models today? TIA -
When the experts here have time to reply, you will understand as I did that you can have some of the biggest super computers and software available, but you still need a human that knows when data doesn’t look right and should be disregarded.
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Brilliant WW. This is what I was chatting with @johnholmes last month whereas I was suggesting matching the closest permutation to the 500s, but your idea is a much better way of matching it using the jet. Great stuff
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South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards
Mr.B replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
Meto removed snow here overnight and tomorrow!!! I can’t be??? All the other weather apps still say snow tomorrow. Do the Meto know something?? -
Winter 2020/21 chat, ramps, moans and banter
Mr.B replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Only track that would fit is “The End of the World”! Love it! Sorry Mods -
Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?
Mr.B replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
For all newbies, please read this brilliant post! We don’t just discard a suit because it’s not showing what we want to see. That would be a layman’s response. We are, to a lesser extent, scientists and deal mostly in logic. -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards
Mr.B replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
Warnings for London & SE Updated: 09:50 (UTC) on Fri 29 Jan 2021 Further details An area of rain pushing in from the south-west overnight will turn to sleet and then snow during the course of Saturday morning, before the band stalls and starts to move south again in the afternoon as it eases. A few cm of snow are possible at low levels, but more persistent snow is expected across Wales and some hills elsewhere, with 3-7 cm of snow possible above 150 m elevation and 10-15 cm over higher ground (above 250 m), mainly in Wales. There is also a low chance of around 20 cm over the higher routes in the Brecon Beacons. -
You forgot the M4!
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South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards
Mr.B replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
Just started snowing in Woking Heavy precipitation now -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion Sept 2020 onwards
Mr.B replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
I’d actually be quite happy to see it falling from the sky. The bar is set very low at the mo -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion Sept 2020 onwards
Mr.B replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
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South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion Sept 2020 onwards
Mr.B replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
Thanks loafer! Defo yes! I’m just looking for that confirmation in the ordinary gp tools. I’ve bored the wife stupid over the years with 10 day chart blizzards inbound most of which have never come to fruition. It’s just the usual 4-5 days worry that we’re chasing phantoms. I’ll feel better when the flakes are falling outside my window. -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion Sept 2020 onwards
Mr.B replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
I know the weather apps (TWC, BBC & MetO) are renowned to be crap but none of them have any snow for my location next week. I keep looking for them to update but everyday nothing. Are they all wrong? I know they all use data in their apps that we have access to. Why don’t they see what we are seeing? -
Model output discussion - Closing in on Christmas
Mr.B replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
You actually raise a really interesting question rob. I can’t read the anomaly charts yet at all, but could @johnholmes or another one of you learned fellows, cross reference the anomaly charts with the closest GFS/EMC Permutations to illustrate a clearer way forward +8 days. It seems the anomalies are more right than wrong at this time and we have enough data variables to possibly match up a way forward. Apologies if this has been done before and proved not to work, but I can’t recall seeing it in the past. TIA Mr. B -
Model Output Discussion - Colder spell ending, what's to follow?
Mr.B replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
So does the MJO drive the ensembles or do the ensembles drive the MJO or do they independently read the background signals? Sorry LRD not directed at you personally just interested. -
Model Output Discussion - Colder spell ending, what's to follow?
Mr.B replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Can you start backing up these assumptions with charts! #justsaying -
Storms and Convective discussion- 15th August onwards
Mr.B replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
One of the trees at my mums house got struck by lightning over the weekend and it knocked off a large branch. Not sure whether the lightning carried down the tree and through the root system under the ground or they are burns on the surface, but left these amazing patterns. Not seen anything like this before. Can anyone shed any light on it? Apologies mods if this is not the correct place to post this. -
Storms and Convective discussion- 15th August onwards
Mr.B replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Looks like the best time for storms today in the South East will be 19:00. Here is the CAPE and the Lifted Index for the South East And for the UK at the same time -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion Sept 2019 onwards
Mr.B replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
Yep! Storm starved here!