Runcible Spoon

because the severity of Dudley has by and large got less propensity to be a significant weather event than Eunice which may well be over a larger area in areas less used to storms?

All the very best to you Michael. Thank you for your service over the years and your great style/content of your forecasts.

Many will have got carried away somewhat with the outrageous charts of a couple of days ago. Cold weather for a few days is nailed on for all. 12z's so far indicate the eastern side of the country will get snow for sure, though I'm sure some unlucky areas there may not. Whilst the showers and convective streamers can and will pop up, the low res models wont get that right and even the hi res models will never be near 100% either. Frontal snow with no 'gaps' in the precip line give much more comfort over surety, but the most recent model runs indicate more of a sleety or snow/rain event for the south and southwest middle of next week. 12z METO and ECM will hopefully show some improved decent frontal snow chances next week, but if gonna turn slushy or melt very soon after there, I'd rather it be 10 degrees, than 2! Slate grey skies and cold don't float my boat. Still, I'll be pleased to see others fun in the regionals

How much are snow accumulations going to be jeopardised by warmish ground temps following the last few days and in some areas rain having fallen before it turns to snow?

32.7 Heathrow Friday 28th

low pressure front running into high pressure - can never be completely sure the point at which the latter starts to cancel the former out. Though you would have thought in this day and age they could do it accurately

My complaint is not that it wont snow necessarily, but almost certainly to be markedly less than predicted for the midlands.

direction of travel indicates an epic fail for most here. Yes it has not yet happened and yes tricky one for the forecasters to get right, but as we live in an increasingly nanny state and risk averse society, these over egged warnings sadly become all too common

calling this out as a bust for vast majority of midlands. odd dusting about but the way the precip will fragment and fade will see hardly anyone here getting much to shout about. Met office app downgrading amounts now too,

met offce raw data now gone from 4 hrs heavy snow in Hereford later evening to 6 hrs of it a bit earlier. Must be a signal for an upgrade?

Nothing in Hereford at the mo

how they can be that precise with the amber zone is a joke. Ridiculous size and shape

not looking good that icon run. There will be some gaps in that front as it arrives here so very variable and light to non existent for some

we are seeing downgrades rather than upgrades with the predicted intensity of the snow but it will be nice just to see some falling from the sky!

-5.2 currently here in Hereford against a low of -6.3 here at 2am. Freezing fog slowly lifting. Could be a good day for snow but we will see!