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Eastnorthwest

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  1. Agreed to a point but my point was the lack of clarity in model charts beyond a cirtain time which to my mind makes forecasting very very difficult yes the experts can see chinks of what might happen in the future but invariably what we see every 6 hours or 12 on the models beyond 5 to 7 days rarely come to 20% fruition which is either interesting to some or very disappointing to most ,let's hope the models become a bit more reliable in the future, A good post by yourself all the same
  2. Unreliable model madness will kill positive debate if things don't improve in the future ,what images shows is what I've been saying all winter ,anything on the models beyond 120 hours can't be relied on is now sometimes down to 96 hours which makes the forecasters job a nightmare ,I look forward to the day when the model performance improve s
  3. Mo ring all ,March can be a funny month,with every type of British weather possible accept warm barmy and hot nights ,with the winter we have witnessed don't be surprised to see some still real cold weather if we get the right set ups ,and if you want to believe the models hints are there in about 10 days time but before that we look like becoming more unsettled with something we haven't had much of this winter high winds and some precipitation which if we don't get much of will lead to another drought come the growing season,unsettled, colder with hill snow up north in the coming week and then hopefully some last horar winter weather which is always possible till the may flower comes out
  4. Well well the models show what cold lovers don't want to see which could be exactly to our favour and the complete opposite to them showing what we want to see beyond 7 days Don't believe what we are seeing but instead realise that we could be seeing another cold spell brewing towards the end of the month,this week's spring can easily change to next week s back to winter, still too early to write winter off I say
  5. Morning all ,looked at gfs and ecm and I don't accept what they are showing what they are showing from 7 days out with the heights moving towards Scandinavia and a mild easterly following with colder air over Germany down to the balkans, never known that before ,in my opinion that will change in the coming days to much colder air creeping our way if the high becomes a block over to our northeast Gfs oz is hinting at height link up with Greenland at day 10 which is encouraging if future runs back this up ,if not early spring will continue with the block sticking to our East or southeast
  6. Morning all ,looked at gfs and ecm and I don't accept what they are showing what they are showing from 7 days out with the heights moving towards Scandinavia and a mild easterly following with colder air over Germany down to the balkans, never known that before ,in my opinion that will change in the coming days to much colder air creeping our way if the high becomes a block over to our northeast
  7. And those predicted charts are from the same models that can hardly ever get it right beyond 5 days so why so different now al of a sudden ,I don't buy anything beyond 5 days and never will ,there's a lot of very cold air still to the east by the weekend and if the high pressure shifts to the northwest after the weekend we will see some of that cold coming this way so enjoy this spring weather while it lasts
  8. Don't throw the towel in yet m8 still plenty of time for a change,especially where you live ,have a thought for yours truely down here in southeast suffolk less time for a snow event happening and our football team doomed for relegation to division 1,one wheel on my waggon ,na wa a mean pawsey
  9. AO is plus 3 at the moment ,we need it to be at neutral and showing it going to at least -4/5 before we see any real change to what we have now ,enjoy the spring spell while it lasts
  10. All the models are going for a quiet settled week,think I'll go to sleepnow till someone wakes me up when there is something more exciting within 7 days showing on the chart runs,night night
  11. No two winters will be the same as with our summers ,it just this one has so far been very disappointing for a lot of us but there is still time for a change to more wintery weather although it's not looking that way for the next 5 days ,beyond that there's still the chance for the block which will be to our East to migrate to a more favourable position
  12. If we don't see anymore real wintry charts and weather in the coming 4/5 weeks then this winter will be among one of the most disappointing after all the great expectations just before Xmas ,let's hope mother nature has something exciting to give us before we start looking forward to spring
  13. I think it's because as per usual the cold set ups keep keep moving back run by run way out in fantasy land ,nothing really to get excited about in the coming 5 days, the mild wedge comes back after tomorrow brief cold spell for most of next week ,need I say more
  14. I won't be convinced or start getting excited till these setups are 5 days away,sorry guys but like many I'm done with getting my hopes up with FI charts ,but for now we have an interesting development coming later Sunday into early Monday with a real snow risk as a low slips southeast ward
  15. Looking at ecm and gfs 12z runs tonight and how completely different they are at 240 just proves how unbelievable the models are beyond a cirtain point of time and how it's almost impossible to forecast what's really going to happen beyond a weeks time ,even the AO forecast has changed in the last 3 days from staying around the -3 to now going plus 4/5,good luck to those who can get a forecast right from these models but for me I'm going down to the river to grab a handful of seaweed and watch that instead and carry on looking at the fax charts instead
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