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Rayth

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Everything posted by Rayth

  1. Thanks Daniel , sorry @shotski should have put more meat on the bones , SST off the coast of Africa and Cape Verdi after a benign start have now began to come into the Hurricane / tropical storm activity zone , no guarantee ofcourse but the ingredients are now there ...
  2. Tropical waves starting to form an orderly queue across Africa , potential fireworks when hitting the Atlantic , keeping my eyes on this
  3. Looks like my region ( north east ) could be in the cross hairs for a summer guy fawkes .. boom-crash-bang tastic !
  4. This low that was considered to head south and over northern France is now heading into the naughty corner in the Atlantic according to the GFS
  5. Snow is naturally a headline grabber but some of the wind chill totals for next week are a touch on the concerning side , especially when it’s not widely talked about in the none weather geek community / social media etc
  6. Even with ‘mild air’ sliding over a very cold surface temperature and favorable dew points ? Hmmm ?
  7. Somebody needs to edit their post !! Explosive cyclogenisis fast !!!!
  8. Well no matter what , we have seen unprecedented things in the past two weeks and that’s not just these stellar Synoptics for this week , a @Tamara ramp of a GFS 12z , posters basically hacksawing the country in half North/South causing a netweather independence referendum and now @Catacol’toy throwing’ even though our nation won yesterday for the first time since 1962/63 ( see what I did there) anyway the beast was nailed by the models and now I’m facing 5 weather warnings including an amber ! Stay safe guys ! Mother Nature sharpens her teeth this week
  9. If you look closely at the ECM 144 chart and see the kink to the NE ... thats where my back yard and Newcastle used to be !
  10. Must admit I’m slightly concerned given I’m in the red zone ( Newcastle upon Tyne ) yikes
  11. In the latter stages of the ecm . Is it picking up on the second warming ?
  12. Just on your post @Mucka made me check the ens, FL mean is quite something
  13. I can’t get my head around this upgrading nearer the event ! Isn’t it supposed to be ‘watered’ down ! Next week should be fun ! Fighting penguins for the last tin of sardines in Asda !
  14. Why don’t the models do a massive ‘correction’ east and move us to Novosibirsk ! I mean we are about to get their climate so it would be easier !
  15. Testing testing 1....2...3 anyway ! The ecm op and mean are incredible
  16. I think your salt has risen higher than the zimbabwian inflation rate !
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