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Everything posted by Rayth
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Model Output Discussion - Autumn 2018
Rayth replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - summer rolls on
Rayth replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Thanks Daniel , sorry @shotski should have put more meat on the bones , SST off the coast of Africa and Cape Verdi after a benign start have now began to come into the Hurricane / tropical storm activity zone , no guarantee ofcourse but the ingredients are now there ... -
Model output discussion - summer rolls on
Rayth replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Tropical waves starting to form an orderly queue across Africa , potential fireworks when hitting the Atlantic , keeping my eyes on this -
Model output discussion - summer rolls on
Rayth replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Looks like my region ( north east ) could be in the cross hairs for a summer guy fawkes .. boom-crash-bang tastic ! -
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Model output discussion - the beast arrives
Rayth replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - the beast arrives
Rayth replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
This low that was considered to head south and over northern France is now heading into the naughty corner in the Atlantic according to the GFS- 1,198 replies
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Model output discussion - the beast arrives
Rayth replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Snow is naturally a headline grabber but some of the wind chill totals for next week are a touch on the concerning side , especially when it’s not widely talked about in the none weather geek community / social media etc- 1,198 replies
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Model output discussion - the beast arrives
Rayth replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Like the shove from 00z to 12z ?- 1,198 replies
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Model output discussion - the beast arrives
Rayth replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Even with ‘mild air’ sliding over a very cold surface temperature and favorable dew points ? Hmmm ?- 1,198 replies
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Model output discussion - the beast arrives
Rayth replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Somebody needs to edit their post !! Explosive cyclogenisis fast !!!!- 1,198 replies
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Model output discussion - the beast arrives
Rayth replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Well no matter what , we have seen unprecedented things in the past two weeks and that’s not just these stellar Synoptics for this week , a @Tamara ramp of a GFS 12z , posters basically hacksawing the country in half North/South causing a netweather independence referendum and now @Catacol’toy throwing’ even though our nation won yesterday for the first time since 1962/63 ( see what I did there) anyway the beast was nailed by the models and now I’m facing 5 weather warnings including an amber ! Stay safe guys ! Mother Nature sharpens her teeth this week- 1,198 replies
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Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
Rayth replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
Rayth replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
Rayth replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
If you look closely at the ECM 144 chart and see the kink to the NE ... thats where my back yard and Newcastle used to be ! -
Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
Rayth replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Isn’t @Bring Back1962-63 Output just ace !! -
Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
Rayth replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Must admit I’m slightly concerned given I’m in the red zone ( Newcastle upon Tyne ) yikes -
Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
Rayth replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
In the latter stages of the ecm . Is it picking up on the second warming ? -
Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
Rayth replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
Rayth replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I can’t get my head around this upgrading nearer the event ! Isn’t it supposed to be ‘watered’ down ! Next week should be fun ! Fighting penguins for the last tin of sardines in Asda ! -
Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
Rayth replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Why don’t the models do a massive ‘correction’ east and move us to Novosibirsk ! I mean we are about to get their climate so it would be easier ! -
Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
Rayth replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
Rayth replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Testing testing 1....2...3 anyway ! The ecm op and mean are incredible -
Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
Rayth replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I think your salt has risen higher than the zimbabwian inflation rate !