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Jonathan Rhodri Roberts

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    Tywydd, syrffio a sieclo

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  1. 'Should' being the keyword there, remember February 2014? Storm after storm. The railway line got washed away in Dawlish, Devon and a week later on the 12th wind gusts reached 100mph in Swansea
  2. Well I must say last Summer wasn't too bad at all especially July, now that was very dry. Doesn't a -NAO mean low to the south and high to north though? if so it managed to bring us a reasonable Summer here in South Wales and across southern England but I'm sure the high was close to the south and lows were further north so I assumed that meant a +NAO?
  3. Well a what a turnaround on the cards from a rainfall/flooding point of view, now this is a marvellous GFS run for southern UK with it becoming much, much drier (finally, especially in South Wales & SW England) while NW Scotland becomes much, much wetter than its been this Autumn a good hint the jet is moving north taking it's lows with it and higher pressure is becoming more influential in the south Thanks Santa
  4. As nice as it would be to see a bit of snow, a decent period of fine, sunny weather would be equally just as nice, wouldn't you agree?
  5. Hi, I'm not sure which thread I need to report data issues but I don't know if you're aware Netweather team, the storm forecast seems to be having data issues with the LI index over the past week or so as you can see from the screenshot for tomorrow for Porthcawl, south Wales. There is a further thunder risk through tomorrow showing on the models but LI around 0 to -1 not -30 lol
  6. Well the GFS isn't feeling very festive this morning with the low teens making a comeback all thanks to a long fetch of southerly winds for Christmas Eve's Eve
  7. Great to see to the GFS pumping out lots more instability with some decent CAPE again early next week towards the W & SW of the UK Fantastic cloud structures towering behind South Wales teatime yesterday, best I've seen for years around here but not a single flash of lightning! This was the view from Porthcawl
  8. Same old, same old, USA once again gets the cold & snow so I presume while this is going on the jet will be firing on all cylinders so it's going to be very unsettled and stormy for the UK & Ireland?
  9. A fine spell of weather still on the cards for early December as high pressure builds in for a short time, but after what's been the case during Oct & Nov with frequent and often persistent rain, even that is better than nothing ️
  10. So nice to see high pressure becoming more dominant down to the SW from December instead of low, I know that's not good news snow-wise but after another very wet period coming up this weekend and lasting into next week for SE Ireland, the Westcountry & S Wales a much drier spell will be very welcome by many ️
  11. Totally agree, it's getting to the point where I personally don't mind if it's going to be mild or cold but let's just get some drier weather for a change
  12. So the chase for the first snowflake to fall for this season is already over for some of us in South Wales as well as parts of Ireland & down into the Westcountry in mid-November lol, even on the coast it was 2-3C with some sleetiness, not as good as snow I know but it's not bad going considering the sea temperatures are still around 12-13C Through next week the lows take a different track though and a result winds begin to turn SW'ly bringing temperatures back up to normal or possibly a tad above by the end of the week but unfortunately still no sign of settled weather returning for the foreseeable future
  13. Doesn't that chart mean higher pressure though so we could finally see a gradual drying out process from December after several weeks of very wet weather?
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