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WalsallWeather123

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Everything posted by WalsallWeather123

  1. Yes but the two lows are much closer together than the 6z. Small changes
  2. Surface cold, yes absolutely. But I'm sure most are chasing snow which we need a greenland high for this time of year
  3. A sceuro high wouldn't bring in deep cold from the NE like a greenland high would. Of course thing are going to get colder but for deep cold and snow we need a greenland high for this time of the year. A sceuro high won't cut it. Lets see what this GFS run will bring
  4. Yes, the end of the run is quite poor. For all the talk of the ECM being an outlier, I can see the other models coming towards it in the coming days
  5. ICON upgrading the cold over the UK. Still looking like cold rain though
  6. Look at the GEFS mean. The block will collapse. It's fairly evident. Give it a few more days and the model will show it. We'll get a few chilly day with a bit of surface cold, but nothing signifcant, then the block will collapse
  7. A weakening of the block and a return to Atlantic driven weather. I was blasted for saying this yesterday. Even more of a possibility today
  8. I didn't say its not good. I was comparing to the GFS and yesterday ECM run and everyone just jumped on me lol
  9. But when it shows cold its ok to be obsessed with single run? The bias is ridiculous.
  10. You can tell the ECM isn't great just by the lack of comments on the T192 and T216 lol
  11. ECM looking better @ 144 compared to 0z run. Heights pushing further north. Updated thoughts. I think we'll get a weak easterly followed by a more potent northerly which is the one to look out for.
  12. Winter over lol. Genuinely can see this being a 2016. Full of hopes but nothing comes to fruition
  13. We have half a chance of an easterly looking at the models. The problem is there's no real cold pool to tap into. OK it'll be chilly but not cold enough for snow IMO and it will be very dry. Frosty nights- yes, snow- probably not.
  14. Another seriously impressive end of GFS run for cold weather. I know it's FI and I am normally one of the biggest critics of long range charts but there is model consensus at T240 from all models and it is obvious that we are going to get a cold spell at the end of November. The building blocks are being built and you just have to put up with some mild southerlies for a while and things will cool down quick time.
  15. GFS snow charts are ridiculous though. They also show sleet as snow and overestimate accumulation yet they still are widely used and treated as gold standard. Surely people should know this by now!
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