Yorkshirepudding

The way I see it your pretty much on the money if the low tracks further south it will bring us more of a easterly/northeasterly sooner driving snow showers and throughs well in land. the west always struggles in these setups but that doesn’t mean that the west won’t get any snow as you say streamers can set up almost anywhere pushing well in land even at times to our extreme west in some cases. So the low going south is fine for cold and snow, but too far north some will have rain while more northern areas will have sleet and snow. But to far north and we could all miss out but that isn’t going to happen lol. I would however like to see a big snow event in the centre of our country and then as it moves across and sinks we enter the really cold air so the snow sticks around with the addition of showers etc, but as others have already stated normally these set ups tend to go south more than anything although I would like to see it 50-100miles north for selfish reasons. Lol

Especially with the elevation of the airport at Leeds/Bradford too.

20 days earlier in the winter. Truly remarkable possibilities. apologies with my last post I was referring to this..

For those that are interested.. White Xmas odds

I also remember 2013 when the chase was on and the signals was all there 10days out. And guess what it actually materialised lol. But I agree with what you say as a norm it will go from boom to bust as we get into the more reliable. However sometimes just sometimes they actually all come together. And I like the fun of the chase hence why I love these forums this time of year. Fingers crossed all the way to the bank

I feel this low coming in from the west is still putting some uncertainties on what happens next I expect upgrades or downgrades as it develops across the uk on Monday. I feel then the met office will adapt its warnings as and when.

Temperatures set to start dropping at the end of the weekend to something more seasonable, then from next Thursday and into the following weekend that’s when ( Judging by the current models) the weather takes an interesting turn to even colder things with the pots of We will see

Just thought it’s time to kick start our region thread for the winter.

Anyone who is writing off the rest of the winter can do so at their own peril. I’m obviously not saying anything else will happen snow/cold wise but we still have a long way to go. Things can change in the matter of days and we still have several weeks left..

I’d be extremely surprised if the majority of our region doesn’t have 5cm as a whole come dinner tomorrow more obviously in favoured spots but my thinking is a lot of surprises are looming.

Potential streamer setting up coming through to our location pal.. Worth keeping an eye on if it makes it this far west

It’s all about the surface temperature regardless of how wet it is if it’s cold enough snow will settle

Currently snowing in Haworth...

Does Anyone watch the Facebook channel “ Severe Weather Update” on Facebook? Latest forecast from them is interesting and worth a watch

Welcome. And to answer your question yes you have a very big chance you will be getting snow from early Saturday evening, before snow showers start to pep up from Sunday through to next week

Yes pal it’s been getting brought forward all day slowly, I feel inland areas with slight elevation to begin with some of us could get a good dump of snow early evening Saturday into Sunday Morning giving some snow fields to accumulate on Edit.. Actually what I said fits into the weather warning issued by the met office for Saturday into Sunday but if it can arrive a little earlier perhaps it will benefit us all a little more.

Morning guys, thank you @johnholmes for posting your article on 2010 really enjoyed reading it . below is a couple of fax charts the first I’ve stolen off John (hope you don’t mind pal) from December 1 2010 the other is the UKMO 12z fax chart for Monday the 8th 2021. Obviously by no way identical but there’s similarities one been the high pressure over Norway and the low pressure that’s due to move across us through Saturday and move down into Europe opening the flood gates for these easterly showers. So for the people out there that are wondering where exactly these showers will or will not occur and how often etc, The low pressure will play a big part but without knowing the exact track it will take its pretty impossible to forecast. But I will say it’s looking great for our region and possibly special for some lucky buggers in our region lol

I remember 2018 pal you was extremely unlucky with what set up and I felt for you buddy.. but like you say caution is required as models find it extremely hard to pin point these sort of set ups. Fingers crossed for you this year pal

I’d be buried if this came off. I can only hope lol.. I’m sure they’ll be lots of interest for lots of different areas for these streamers we are all in the game that’s one thing for sure

You can clearly see what the Pennines do to these showers.

I wouldn’t worry too much just yet buddy, the low moving over on Saturday isn’t nailed to its exact track yet which will influence where the PPN is most likely initially. 50-100miles is nothing of a shift in weather terms and don’t forget these showers haven’t even been made in the atmosphere yet. I’ve learnt over the years in these setups you’ll find Forecasts etc saying one thing regarding where the projected showers are which isn’t in your location and you end up having a streamer above your head giving several CMs.

Yes showers generally blow up as they move in land before getting eaten up by the Pennines meaning the north west don’t see as much. But It will be all about where the showers are most frequent and heaviest and where streamers may develop will be obviously where the largest amounts are but this is impossible to forecast at this time and will be more down to nowcasting on the day. I don’t want to be a party pooper but unfortunately some places might not see much if any at all I just hope I’m not one of them .. But if it turns into a persistent cold spell I’m sure everyone at some point will get in on the act .. Really looking forward to a proper cold spell now. Giving us something to get excited about given the circumstances.

Lovely winter wonderland this morning, snow just about stopped in my location now leaving behind around 10cm.. Now it’s all eyes for the weekend . Enjoy guys

Teasing the hell out of me this hole.. lol

I was just trying to work that out also pal, I was thinking it’s moving up quickly. Does it slows down when it bumps into the cold air ??.