Jump to content
Problems logging in? ×
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?

Bricriu

Members
  • Posts

    1,001
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Posts posted by Bricriu

  1.  January Snowstorm  This event  is not looking great for us 24 hours of rain and sleet with snow confined to high ground. I am focusing on after mid month now. If we get a proper cold spell to see out winter it will have been worth  the endless roller coaster, but if it's another letdown it will go down as one of the most disappointing  winters  in recent times given the background drivers looked very positive for a notable cold spell at some point.

    • Like 2
  2. If the GFS doesn't backtrack  by this evening  I think we are going to end up in a half-way house solution which means cold rain for most on lower ground . As regards  later on this month, what if we see a repeat  of what happened in January  with a ssw scuppering a cold spell.  Although knowing our luck a proper freeze will finally take hold in March.  

    • Like 2
  3. The cold pushed back again to late February now. The mild is hardly ever pushed back!

    The UKMO will still be talking about cold from North East  by the Summer at this rate. Roger J Smith did say February,  from data he analysed , would be mostly mild. It now appears to be turning out that way - well at least  for the first half of it to be offensively mild for the time of year. 

  4. If Arome is correct then some inland parts of Ireland  are very close to red territory. Unless we see downgrades in the morning, which is possible, I think gusts of between 70- 80 mph are possible for places inland that are not used to having such gusts.  Even with lesser gusts, if the windy period is prolonged  there could be a lot of damage for some areas.

  5. 5 minutes ago, nick sussex said:

    The overall pattern has good agreement after the weekends wet and windy weather .

    So the upstream troughing will dig south and there will be several attempts to cut shortwave energy se to the east or ne.

    Pressure rises to the ne but the question is can that troughing sharpen up enough and will we see a westwards correction. 

    We certainly need the MJO to move out of phase 5 and into 6 as quickly as possible and preferably into 7 but the models seem less interested in the latter happening . There’s also a question mark over the amplitude of the signal.

     

    I hope the MJO isn't going to cod us again.  It's unlikely  the Scandi High will come off in that case. 

    • Like 4
    • Thanks 2
  6. 2 hours ago, Troubleatmill said:

    Meanwhile on our door step, Sunday in to Monday is still looking very wild , our friends over in Ireland/n Ireland could be in for a shocking time, sure if it carries on being modelled like this, the met will be out with the warnings

    00_98_ukwindvector_gust.png

    Aperge overdid the last storm here. So its probably  doing the same again. ECM has downgraded it  to a windy day for us on Sunday.  The GFS still  has it as a storm. Plenty of time for it to downgrade  on all models yet 

    • Like 2
×
×
  • Create New...