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N/A

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  1. N/A
    Arome showing the worst gales across the N Wales coast and around the Liverpool area. Less strong through the Bristol & English Channel.
  2. N/A
    Much milder air moving in from the SW by Sunday on the GFS 12z, good news if you don't like the cold weather
  3. N/A
    I know a lot of models look really snowy in Scotland but possibly in parts of Northern England and perhaps Northern Ireland too. Areas to the south will get a spell of heavy rain & severe gales but before then we still have lots of hefty hail / snow showers to enjoy here in South Wales.
  4. N/A
    Snow-wise I doubt but intense hail showers in Saundersfoot turned the beach white temporarily earlier on! GFS 12z has these hefty showers continuing until the early hours across much of coastal Wales, I'm enjoying them lol
  5. N/A
    Well hopefully the worst will avoid the Bristol Channel coast this time as we'll be back in a period of high Spring tides, indeed some areas here are still repairing sea defences after the storms 10 days or so ago with 3 consecutive days of severe gales in South Wales & SW England not to mention the damaged harbour wall in Portreath, Cornwall.
  6. N/A
    The central slice of Wales looks very wet possibly snowy on the hills & mountains. Elsewhere it certainly doesn't look like a washout next week, far from it with much of the south & west coast getting under an inch of rain up to next Thursday. BBC forecast showing this trend for Tenby for example. Same for the rest of the U.K. wettest in the NW drier elsewhere especially in the east.
  7. N/A
    If the met office is correct, it could be a really decent week here in Pembrokeshire.
  8. N/A
    Sounds interesting, I'm in a cold, damp Angle Bay today, in the far SW of Pembrokeshire it'll be the first place for that front to arrive, so I'll let you know when it hits us and if it's falling as rain, sleet or snow
  9. N/A
    You're right southern UK has had its fair share of severe gales along with frequent heavy rain this week, if the jet keeps going north so does the bulk of rain & gales allowing the south to dry out a bit and it would certainly be a big relief for those residents in Portreath Cornwall who are now without part of their harbour wall to keep the sea out
  10. N/A
    And sadly for us on the coast of south Wales, hail is the new slush
  11. N/A
    Oh thank heavens for that, we've had more gales, rain and heavy/thundery showers during this one week in south Pembrokeshire than any given week during the stormy winter of 2013-14 and that's saying something!
  12. N/A
    GFS isn't too bad at all, it keeps the heavy rain & gales well away until at least the end of next week which is excellent news in my opinion
  13. N/A
    Ooh I'll have to have a look. Tbh I lost the will to look anymore from Thursday's chart as it seems we're in for a depressingly long period of gales / severe gales with squally rain & showers tomorrow and Wednesday! Yeah best scenario for us, Atlantic rain hitting very cold air over us and kaboom! let it snow, let it snow lol
  14. N/A
    Wow that's a fair drop for just a fortnight ago! Bristol / English Channel, Irish Sea and especially Irish coasts have also dropped a couple of degrees despite this very mild week. It's getting more exciting now, all we need are the right conditions and we'll have a good chance of at least a dusting of snow on the coast, perhaps as early as Wednesday morning for starters?
  15. N/A
    GFS 12z keeps that temporary cooling down theme too, max 9C Boxing Day, 7C Wednesday and Thursday before turning milder again on Friday 11-12C
  16. N/A
    @Draig Goch Just had a look through a lot of models and I don't see any real concerns regarding stormy lows near us next week just our usual wind & rain with mild air followed by colder air followed by milder air and so on. It will as you said in your last post be cold enough for hail (some recent years we didn't even see that as it was too mild) with some temporary accumulations in the heavy showers and perhaps more thunder & lightning to come again triggered from the still relatively mild sea. As I've said all along February is often referred to our 'snowy month' when the sea temperatures are at their coldest and although the sun is gaining strength it is still fairly weak. Personally I haven't been looking too much at snow probabilities in my area and won't start until around the 3rd week of January unless anything significant shows up within a timeframe of 4 days maximum on the charts. Until then we have far more chance of the ground turning white through hailstones rather than snow.
  17. N/A
    It looks like don't it? Not a bad chart at all for Boxing Day perhaps a bit breezy when I and hundreds of other people go for our annual swim in the lovely warm sea in Tenby
  18. N/A
    Not much rain showing for South Wales on GFS 6z just a lot of cloud and mist but that won't help my SAD, the days are short enough now as it is let alone getting stuck with dark, depressing, dreary days too. Thursday evening a cold front pushes SE, the winds turn northerly behind leaving a much brighter Friday. By then, a strong high 1042mb will be over Ireland. So I'm hopeful it won't be too wet.
  19. N/A
    I completely agree with the ensembles, I think they'll be right and we will end up somewhere between 965mb and 1030mb on New Year's Eve, I'd even put money on it happening
  20. N/A
    GFS 6z, can't upload any charts atm but really liking that high pressure sat over or close to southern UK throughout next week, some decent prolonged dry, mild perhaps even sunny weather at times for the run up to Christmas. It's not until Boxing Day, it could turn wet and very windy albeit very mild in the west but of course that's a long way off.
  21. N/A
    GFS 6z continues this theme too, could be more snow over S & SW England as well as the far South of Wales than Sunday if this verifies.
  22. N/A
    By far that's the best snow chart I've seen since December 2010 for my area!!
  23. N/A
    If the severe gales and snowline clash anywhere, then the places underneath would get a right pasting with snow drifts! Hopefully they'll stay apart!
  24. N/A
    Small nudge south by the look of it but a big difference showing there, interestingly the severe gales are also showing too, could be a potent snow storm somewhere if these combine!
  25. N/A
    Well spotted! Lots of discussions about snow but very little mentioned about the severe gales that are forecast, even NW daily forecast has no mention of them for Sunday which I'm surprised at. It looks like Pembrokeshire will get a good buffeting (and not from snow) but Monday especially around Weymouth out to the Channel Islands looks very rough for a time. Yellow warning is already in place. I'll be mostly keeping a close eye on the models for wind rather than snow or even rain.
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