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ScottishSnowStorm

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Everything posted by ScottishSnowStorm

  1. ScottishSnowStorm
    Decent upgrade here on the ECM eps from the 12z although the op was on the colder side
  2. ScottishSnowStorm
    GEFS 0z has more members than the 18z going for sub -10 uppers at 850hpa in fife scotland so a step forward on there and ECM looking better Hopefully we can keep seeing upgrades and the block getting into Greenland and not collapsing as there is plenty cold uppers to tap into over russia by this point
  3. ScottishSnowStorm
    Wednesday could get really interesting from how this BBC weather reporter is talking
  4. ScottishSnowStorm
    UKMO 144hr 850 temp chart we see the 0c line move well away and lots of scope for prolonging the cold spell further
  5. ScottishSnowStorm
    UKMO 144hr chart looks really good
  6. ScottishSnowStorm
    The low definitely looks further south on the 12z Cold air looks further south as well and the cold pool looks to be just a little stronger
  7. ScottishSnowStorm
    ICON 12z has the 0c temp line a little further south over northern spain than the 6z so hopefully an early good sign
  8. ScottishSnowStorm
    Hopefully this just turns out to be the same as the easterly is going too far south incident we had and over the next 24hrs things get back to how they were looking earlier on
  9. ScottishSnowStorm
    Is what we are seeing in the output now because the whole of the PV has been shunted into russia and placing too much pressure on the blocking to allow any easterly winds to exert thereselves on our side of the hemisphere?
  10. ScottishSnowStorm
    Strange how it can be the milder option down south but one of the colder here in scotland till nearer the end of the run how often can that happen?
  11. ScottishSnowStorm
    The 18z ensembles don't even look to keep the cold here in the scottish central belt
  12. ScottishSnowStorm
    The UKMO fax charts yesterdays 12z 96hrs todays 0z 84hrs and todays 12z 72hrs all for this tuesday and the high over scandinavia is being upgraded every chart and so is the bank of sub 510 dam air spreading through europe
  13. ScottishSnowStorm
    ECM snowfall charts from just the operational (master) and the control at day 10 and from the looks of the control it takes the low into france so a big change just between them and hopefully the control is right with this one
  14. ScottishSnowStorm
    I wonder what the spread is in the ens from cold v warm perspective maybe 25-13?
  15. ScottishSnowStorm
    More spread at the end of run compared to the 0z and mean a little less cold but the op is way off towards the end
  16. ScottishSnowStorm
    Isn't there going to be a point in the models once the block pattern is in the reliable they start to look for the breakdown but it doesn't mean they are right?
  17. ScottishSnowStorm
    That because they are both a day apart
  18. ScottishSnowStorm
    The GFS and GEFS showing quite a few warmer runs for the south next week but the ensembles and tabluex for here in fife central scotland show a different picture Wouldn't need much correction to keep the colder air further south and hopefully it goes that way and not further north
  19. ScottishSnowStorm
    ECM day 10 mean and a complete circle of easterly winds over the northern hemisphere Would be a bit better if it was further over our side of the hemisphere to keep pulling those deep cold uppers across the land and into europe
  20. ScottishSnowStorm
    Been watching the models for 8 years and seen a lot of great charts but to see all sorts of ridiculous charts this past week from easterly winds stretching from alaska to florida to complete reverse zonality it has to be said this chart tonight is just an utter thing of beauty and would be awsome to see something like this verify in my lifetime
  21. ScottishSnowStorm
    Isn't that because alot of time they get really cold air moving through it is from a high pressure already sinking and moving through the country where as this is an actual block setting up
  22. ScottishSnowStorm
    It's amazing how consistently this model is showing that deepest cold air heading straight for us How reliable is this model?
  23. ScottishSnowStorm
    ECM shows a possible period of snow working across from the east maybe one to watch
  24. ScottishSnowStorm
    3:30 am GFS, UKMO, GEM 0z 6 am ECM 0z 9:30 am GFS 6z 3:30 pm GFS, UKMO, GEM 12z 9:30 pm GFS 18z
  25. ScottishSnowStorm
    Literally looks like it wants to swallow up the whole UK
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