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Always a red

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Posts posted by Always a red

    Yorkshire and E England regional discussion

    in Yorkshire & E.England Weather Discussion

    Posted

    23 minutes ago, SouthYorks said:

    Met Office short and extended outlook continue to give interest.  Perhaps not as cold as now after the weekend, but certainly not appearing to go mild in our region for some time yet.

    Interesting forecas just now on BEEB (yes its the BEEB!!) but they continued to show a decent amount of snow showers on and off today/tonight and tomorrow wind turns more NE blowing quite a few more into our region on that NE trajectory! Also said we still expect cold to win end of week. 

    Local forecast the same, after weekend could lose the potential as has been highlighted but before then much to pay for it seems, according to BEEB *caveats

    Meto Uk Further Outlook

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    3 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

    Tuesday 12 Jan - Thursday 21 Jan

    Sunday begins with a band of cloud and patchy rain pushing in southeast across Scotland. Brighter and colder conditions follow to the far northeast of Scotland and Northern Isles, though further wet weather is likely later. Into Monday, high pressure to the west will decline allowing Atlantic frontal systems to bring in milder conditions, with temperatures closer to the average for this time of year, though further wintry hazards across the far north. Then past Wednesday, as this high pressure develops to the southwest of the UK, mobile and cyclonic northwesterly flows bring unsettled conditions with outbreaks of rain and, at times, strong winds as well as occasional colder temperatures. Drier, more settled conditions are then probable across the south of the UK, with frost and fog fairly prevalent.

    Wednesday 20 Jan - Wednesday 3 Feb

    Confidence for this period is low, though there is a signal for Atlantic mobility to weaken which perhaps allows conditions, at least in the north, to become drier and for temperatures to be closer to average. However, there is still a chance of cold air outbreaks in the north as flow across Scandinavia pushes across the North Sea. This would confine more unsettled conditions to the south, with the potential for milder than average temperatures. Further, this boundary between the cold and milder conditions could also allow for some significant snowfall where the two air masses meet.

    https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

     

    Thats yesterdays!

    Yorkshire and E England regional discussion

    in Yorkshire & E.England Weather Discussion

    Posted · Edited by Always a red

    How far north and east the less cold air pushes won`t be known until nearer the time but it looks very temporary according to this and a very decent update for our region there IMO

     

    Ignore time stamp its just been updated now

     

    Friday 8 Jan - Sunday 17 Jan

    Some outbreaks of rain, sleet and snow are likely across central areas initially, with wintry showers also feeding in from the North Sea. Through Friday precipitation will be tending to decay in both of these regions, with cold, fine and dry conditions becoming more widespread. Over the weekend conditions across the country are likely to turn more unsettled with cloud and patchy rain spreading east and temperatures recovering to near average for many, by this time the risk of sleet and snow will most likely become confined to the north of the country. Through the following week rather cold conditions are most likely to re-establish nationwide, with northern and western areas continuing to see frosts.

    Updated: 04:00 (UTC) on Sun 3 Jan 2021

    Yorkshire and E England regional discussion

    in Yorkshire & E.England Weather Discussion

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, LeeSnowFan said:

    Read this

     

    We'll likely have to wait for after dark for even more snow conductive air. Showers will continue to move into the North East tonight #uksnow

    Temps and dew points less supportive further South but that will likely change as evening falls. With that said the further south you go the more likely it'll just be sleet/rain.

    Where is that from Lee?

    Sounds good 

    Model output discussion 02/02/20

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    1 hour ago, IDO said:

    Another good run from the GFS op:

    anim_tic7.gif

    HP building in. Warm uppers on this run as well, have to go to N Africa to get uppers like this in our sector:

    gfseu-1-306.thumb.png.14f0f42b0e1846dcaf430523af7b7725.png

    Of course, JFF, that core of heights could meander east or west and that would make changes to the UK outcome viz temps and conditions. But hopeful of some dry and warmer conditions very soon.

    Why is it a good run???

    Winter 2019/20 | Moans, Ramps & Chat

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    At least there is more interest for all those seeking cold in the models at the moment even if the end result is pretty much as per normal!! Models have been very bullish rolling out week after week of milder than average dross recently...……..a points deduction without question should be enforced for the models bare cheek...……..will the outlook improve..………….very SCEPTICAL!!!   LIKEY CREEEEEEEEEWWWWW

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