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  • Interests
    Knowing how and why things work, and occasionally poking them with a stick.
  • Weather Preferences
    The more the merrier.
  1. Hurricane Ophelia

    Adding to the list of complaints about the BBC: They're using the exact same photograph next to the stories about Barrow AFC and the football club in Ireland getting their roofs blown off.
  2. Hurricane Maria

    I wonder how much it would cost for a seat on that plane. Looks like a fun ride. Eyes gone again. Masses of convection on the west half of the hurriance, but the east half is stubbornly inactive.
  3. Hurricane Maria

    Pressure has dropped a little since yesterday, now down to 952, winds at 126mph. Looks a lot more symmetrical than it was yesterday, and the eyes cleared out too. She's completed the turn towards North, and travelling out into open sea. (Image http://tropicalatlantic.com/recon/recon.cgi?basin=al&mapping=cesium)
  4. Hurricane Maria

    Looks like it might be finally starting to re-intensify properly. Some strong convection on the North side, and an eye is starting to reform unless that's just a momentary blip.
  5. Hurricane Maria

    Not much of an eye left, and recon is having trouble finding the centre. The latest dropsonde is in, readings at 959hPa. Still no signs of intensification, every now and then there's a burst of strong convection, but it looks like with the colder waters to the North and the landmass to the South the driving forces just aren't consistent enough.
  6. Hurricane Maria

    Whatever it's doing, it's definitely shrinking now. And for no reason at all, here's a nice desktop background.
  7. Hurricane Maria

    She's really struggling to hold together. Looking really lopsided, seems to be plenty of heat input from the south, but with the land interaction and less heat coming from the North it doesn't want to form up. Pressure is still around 960.
  8. Hurricane Maria

    Very strong convection showing again. It's not so bad now, the hottest waters waters were to the south of Puerto Rico. There's still some quite hot waters ahead for Maria, but it depends how far west she tracks.
  9. Hurricane Maria

    I think the eye might be getting ready to reform, and convection is starting to pick back up on the east side now that it's cleared land.
  10. Hurricane Maria

    Mike Theiss is hunkered down. He even has a "safe room" in his hotel.
  11. Hurricane Maria

    I guess dropping dropsondes over land is frowned upon too. Also, teeny weeny little pinhole eye?
  12. Hurricane Maria

    It looks to be about half an hour or so from passing directly over San Juan. The eye is closing up as it passes over land but recon found nearly 100mph winds just off the cost of the city an hour ago.
  13. Hurricane Maria

    My guess is that they're getting extra data on the conditions ahead of the hurricane so they can make more accurate forecasts of the path. Latest observations from flight 7 are 912hPa, looks to be weakening now as the NW part is passing over Puerto Rico. My untrained eye thinks it might see an ERC ready to start too. Hurricanes are driven by hot air rising. Stronger signals in the infra-red satellite images means stronger convection, and that can mean the hurricane is getting stronger, or at least maintaining a high strength.
  14. Hurricane Maria

    And 153kts winds seen too.
  15. Hurricane Maria

    There was a magnitude 8 earthquake off the coast of mexico last week, the one today was most likely related to that one and the aftershocks. There has been some correlation between hurricanes and earthquakes noted in the past, but there's barely any noticeable correlation at all.