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John Cox

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  • Gender
    Male
  • Location
    Dublin, ireland
  • Interests
    Meteorology and Photography
  • Weather Preferences
    Snow , thunderstorms and wind

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  1. One of these days it will materialise...... Hopefully.... I would love it...but unless it is is 48+ i will not be happy... A long terms watcher and scpetic of long range synoptics.... but is it not nicer to be watching such synoptics rather than raging westerlies.
  2. It's very unusual for the ECM to be predicting a cold spell at this range instead of the GFS. Perhaps a very good signal for cold in mid December
  3. Just so that people don’t become too despondent with the recent ups and downs regarding cold coming and getting snow this winter, I think we just need to step back a little bit and look at the type of synoptics and related weather type we have had since the “beast from the East” arrived last late Feb/early March. Our blisteringly hot summer was based on similar synoptics we are beginning to see now. Yes, we have had some blips with some Westerly incursions of cyclonic weather. Predominately though. we have been influenced by more Northerly/Easterly/Southerly weather synoptics since last March. Where are our regular westerlies that we would normally been getting at this time of the year? Gone. Do they look like coming back in the near/Mid term? No. Maybe i am being overly optimistic, but things to me look different this late autumn. It looks to me very like that the synoptics have a look of late 2010 written all over it.
  4. Steve, thanks for a great topic and detailed opening post. I posted the following comment on an Irish Facebook forum in July. "From what i can see, the same synoptics in general have prevailed since the historic snow storm back at the end of February. In winter this gives snow, in summer sunny and hot. I cannot remember any such prolonged synoptic similarities (easterlies) in all the 40 years i have been weather watching. Is this linked to the slowdown in the North Atlantic drift? This being caused by the speed up in the melting of the Artic ice and Greenland Ice? Could the NAD slowdown be speeding up? We know what this would eventually cause. Perhaps I am being over dramatic. We shall see." I am not there most techical member here and I just have observed the weather for the last 50 years and studied the charts for as long.... and things, i believe, have changed big time since early in the year. I did predict to family members and friends after the Late February and 18th March cold spell that if the weather synoptics continued as they were at that time we would be in for a scorcher of a Summer. The synoptics generally stayed the same and lo and behold the hottest, sunniest and longest Summer came to Ireland this year. Stephen, my technical reasons for the change above may be quite simplistic. I think perhaps, what you have stated in detail may be actually what is taking place. This winter could be facinitating and indeed one to watch, based on your thoughts.
  5. Hi John,jut saw your post and your thought processes are similar to mine,I am off to London on Wednesday to sample their heat for a week,hope you are well.

    1. John Cox

      John Cox

      Hi Mike,

      Great to hear from you and glad you are keeping well. We went from Winter to Summer here in Ireland in the space of 7 days in early May. It was remarkable. We have had some heat here (Even hotter than the UK for some of the time, which in itself is very unusual) that i have not experienced since 1983. It looked like a breakdown was coming next weekend but looking at todays ECM and UKMO that now looks in doubt. I also remember a visit to London in the 80's and the heat was oppressive. You, i am sure are made of strong so enjoy your break.

    2. Rollo

      Rollo

      Thanks John,we must keep in touch in the future. The weather in London whilst pretty warm is not to bad other than going on the tube which yesterday was a nightmare. I feel we will have to put up with further warm weather this month but some areas will get some rain, I just hope Newcastle gets some as my garden is parched despite daily watering,on thing it makes it easier to get the weeds out. Regards and keep well,Mike.

  6. Hi Steve, I never post in Summer but the synoptics are so like Winter... On an Irish Facebook weather channel i posted the following a few days ago: "from what i can see, the same synoptics in general have prevailed since the historic snow storm back at the end of February. In winter this gives snow, in summer sunny and hot. I cannot remember any such prolonged synoptic similarities (easterlies) in all the 40 years i have been weather watching. Is this linked to the slowdown in the North Atlantic drift? This being caused by the speed up in the melting of the Artic ice and Greenland Ice? Could the NAD slowdown be speeding up? We know what this would eventually cause. Perhaps I am being over dramatic. We shall see." Manage I will probably get technically berated but this is my gut feeling. Duck
  7. I understand. Anyone of us could use your data and do some analysis and present. Thanks again. It has been a memorable late winter and this is the time for post mortems
  8. Thank you so much for this report. I note with pleasure 6th Jan 1982 (showing my age). It was my most memorable snow event. You state" A slight trend to more severe weather in 'late winter' is more obvious. The last 10 years now shows this trend extending into March" Have you any information as to why we are generally now having the most cold periods in late winter/early spring?
  9. Here in the East of Ireland this is what our Met people have to say: The snow that’s on its way could be “record breaking” according to RTÉ weather presenter Karina Buckley. Speaking on Liveline in the past few minutes, she said that the previous record snowfall was 49cm in the 1960s. It could reach 50cm tomorrow. This evening they mentioned "copious amounts of snow". I have never heard the word "copious" mentioned with regards to snow here in Ireland.
  10. Yes, it is great, It just keeps snowing and snowing , nearly white out conditions. - 3.6c. -10c wind chill here
  11. We've had blizzard conditions here in Dublin for the last 30 minutes. The wind has got so strong the snow is beginning to swirl and drift. Lovely jubly
  12. If this is anything like Jan 1982 the we are in for an unbelievable event. I still remember that snow so well here in Dublin. It was an epic event. We had 18 inches of snow with 6 feet drifts
  13. Blizzard conditions here in Palmerstown at the moment. Temp had dropped 1.2c in the last 10 minutes. Currently -2.1 c
  14. Continuous snow showers here with blizzard like conditions. I would say we have had about 10cm easily. This is bliss
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