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jonboy

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Everything posted by jonboy

  1. TonyH Why 90%? I can tell you now if you had a 90% reduction man would not exist. Utter baloney.
  2. raz.org.rain We are seeing population decline which has absolutely nothing to do with climate change. World population levels are predicted to peak in the next 50 years tops then decline part of the natural cycle especially as women become more independent and not at the behest of men.
  3. Population will collapse because we all become better off. If it wasn't for immigration the UK population would already be in decline.
  4. One issue I have in regard to the whole climate change discussions is that each element of emission is taken in isolation without a fully rounded discussion on consequence. An example is electric cars. As a singular subject electric cars are less polluting in carbon terms that petrol or diesel in regard to emissions. However this carbon cycle needs to factor in also the degradation to our roads due to increased weight hence the need for greater/more often renewal. The additional pollution of greater tire degradation and thus greater tire wear. The need to change battery assemblies at least once in the life time of the vehicle. If you added the whole carbon cycle I am certain electric vehicles wouldn't look so attractive.
  5. If you watch my video closely you will see the sea water actually coming through the wall below the coping and lower down in several places. Shows the power the sea has.
  6. 6.4 and 70mm although I would prefer a warmer and drier month I can't see it happening
  7. Midlands Ice Age for what its worth we know that snow fall can help in the formation of sea ice. We have seen this winter an increase in the intensity of both rainfall and snowfall which I would suggest is a result of the extra water vapour in the stratosphere, as a result of Hunga Tonga, making its way back to earth. This increase in intensity of any early snowfall would in my opinion have helped in the early ice formation this year. We may well see this next year also but thereafter unlikely.
  8. toggerob not from the sunspot that is bristling with energy for x class flares but departing sunspot 3575 close call today!!
  9. Polar Maritime And just about as earth facing as possible. it will be interesting to see what impacts it has.
  10. I do find it interesting how much hype some people put on this cold spell give any snow fall is transient and for the most part Restricted to higher elevation. I want snow to lower elevation for a week then it might be worth talking about
  11. I see GB news are quoting Netweater charts for the 800mile wide snow event that is coming!!!
  12. It would appear that the usual members are beginning to write off early Feb despite it being over 2 weeks away. When did 17 day charts verify? Enjoy the next 7 days then reassess the beginning of next month not before. I fully expect surprise snow fall in this coming week
  13. A lot of gnashing of teeth tonight for what has been well advertised by the likes of Tamara and Met4. Have faith we have a cold dry spell incoming which will be very welcomed by those areas recently flooded. A brief less cold spell we should see the cold reestablish itself.
  14. I agree a lot of research ongoing and ultimately it will in my mind show its impact on the NH winter whether its extra snowfall or increased artic ice. Its the added unknown in science terms that will change a good winter period into an exceptional one.
  15. Could you see our pampered footballers even getting to the dressing room door!!
  16. I agree a lot of research ongoing and ultimately it will in my mind show its impact on the NH winter whether its extra snowfall or increased artic ice. Its the added unknown in science terms that will change a good winter period into an exceptional one.
  17. All the extra water vapour due to hunga tonga will show its hand in shear intensity of any snow fall as I said back in November. Get your very large shovels ready!!
  18. Given the depth of cold modelled in the area for the next few weeks it will be interesting to see how much sea ice we get in that area and the baltic sea. Given that we have talk of the hottest year on record due to man induced climate change (personally I think the effect of hunga tonga is ignored for political reasons) then the amount of sea ice is extraordinary. Keep up the great work MIA this is such a thought provoking thread.
  19. I rarely comment in this thread as I'm not a great reader of the models. However there are some fantastic charts being shown which hopefully will bring winter joy to many. But lets put into perspective each model. Firstly the GFS (Global Forecasting System) this is an American based forecasting tool it will be great at getting it right around America it will be less right further afield ie europe especially the further out the model prediction goes. Gem is a Canadian model so much the same applies ECM a European model great for us but less likely to get what happens around the US right again the further out the modelling goes. ICON is german I believe so similar to ECM and of course UKMET model will be great for us but again maybe poor at modelling whats happens in the states. My point is don't take any model as gospel especially beyond 5 days try and assess each model taking account of their individual bias nearer to their own locations. We are going to get a proper winter spell and winter is just beginning.
  20. Agree this is hunga tonga at play with all that extra water vapour. If people think we have had it bad I would suggest they look at what has been happening in queensland and specifically the gold Coast over the last months
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