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Model Output Discussion - the cold has arrived
Dbarb replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Although the icon doesn't show any precipitation there certainly would be snow piling into the south east with the strong onshore flow cold uppers and still warm water. -
Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
Dbarb replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
It's possible but I haven't seen a scenario like that in my lifetime at least. It happened in the very cold winter's like 47 and 63 I believe but it's very rare that a low coming of the Atlantic falls as snow and then stays as snow. Some places in the mountains it still happens but for most especially in the south it's something of a myth now. I would be happy for it to happen but it can only happen under extraordinary circumstances -
Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
Dbarb replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Really don't get the enthusiasm for frontal snowfall from the Atlantic. Surely some of you know by now that nearly always results in warmer uppers being drawn up? I live in the south and yes heavy snow for a few hours is cool but it will certainly put a dent in future cold prospects not to mention it will melt within hours or turn to rain. Let the cold stay and build and there will be suprises no matter how slack the flow or how high the pressure. Gone are the days of snowstorms from the Atlantic they always end in slushy failure -
Model Output Discussion. 3/12/2022. How cold will it get?
Dbarb replied to chionomaniac's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Will take cold over the risk of snow and low pressure from the Atlantic. As long as it's cold there is always a risk of snow as we live surrounded by water. -
Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
Dbarb replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
That's regarding tropical Cyclone formation. A low pressure will form whether it's tropical or not. -
Model Output Discussion. 3/12/2022. How cold will it get?
Dbarb replied to chionomaniac's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The ideal scenario for those in the south East. Guaranteed snow over streamers which are hit or miss. This is providing the Atlantic low actually misses us of course -
Model Output Discussion. 3/12/2022. How cold will it get?
Dbarb replied to chionomaniac's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
In that scenario with the 1000mb or so low over the continent it would certainly be throwing us some surprises. And without the worry of milder air afterwards with it all being snow