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AnvilCrawlers

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Everything posted by AnvilCrawlers

  1. aww gawd,looks like the brum cell is gonna go north of me this time.one south,one north and im stuck in the middle.
  2. Yeah i dont get it as i thought they meant to be travelling ENE.was a bit lost when it dived south.good to know we still got a chance still.
  3. Sadly gone south of us and heading for Northampton,thats another miss for here.
  4. Story of storms this year,gone either side of me.so fingers and every thing else crossed and noticed its got a shift on.
  5. Been interesting skies again today almost similar to yesterday.was realy cloudy this morning with towers dotted about and odd bit of drizzle.not long had a short shower with sun out and blue skies.who knows whats gonna be thrown here.could absolutely be anything looking at how skies have been so far.
  6. Stiil cant get storm overhead,few distant rumbles no flashes as it went west of me heading NE.
  7. I know and sadly it really lacking storm wise here also.Been a poor year here so far.either north,east,south or west of me.Think ive had 2 thats been close.
  8. Sadly Mother Nature doesn't always do what she shows in forecasts.
  9. Still early.Got towering cumulus,blue skies and messy skies all mixed out there.patience is the key
  10. I think i be lucky to see any storms in these parts,feel im to far south.
  11. They probably die by then with the luck of storms here this year.Just so slow moving.Hoping as atmosphere cools it can trigger more cells.
  12. Then you have this from Tony Gilbert on UKWW Slight Risk of Isolated Thundery Showers 12z to 23z UK & Ireland Sadly I can only give a brief heads up today due to lack of time; Quasi stationary low sits just NE of Scotland. A number of isolated thundery showers expected to develop to day as per map. Highest risk of thunder, central Ireland. Weak DLS and LLS. Fairly limited convergence with slightly elevated LCL suggests anything severe unlikely. Though GFS give the chance of CAPE to 500 j/kg and WRF much higher at 1000 j/kg. So in many ways we have a low shear / high instability outlook. Now all aside I have noted a zone where buoyancy will be quite exceptional; Devon through to Dorset this afternoon. Convection is likely to develop within exceptional 'Potential Instability'. Very dry air at mid level over moderate surface moisture could set the scene for stronger updrafts. An isolated FC or two cannot be rules out for this zone. Steering winds are slow and very weak at mid levels. This condition can make updrafts fold quite rapidly possibly resulting in point deluge. Flooding will be possible. Any folding storm in this zone will also be capable of producing gusts to 40kts today
  13. Convective Weather Seem to be a little different in there forecast than others as they got a stretch from wales to the east coat.
  14. I think Here Has done poorly for storms this year,Deffo a decline in storms in this part of Warwickshire.
  15. Church Lawford (106m) 2021-07-25 08:00-15.9 °C here,doesnt seem to look or feel like a convective day.
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