Weatherlad50

Terrible weather on the way over the next two to three weeks with very cold stormy autumnal weather. I agree that there is likely to be flooding across England. No sign of jet stream moving north. This is going to end up like 2007 wish a washout end of July and rain for the whole of august. Nightmare models for heat lovers like me.

Two fine days this week followed by rain on Wednesday. Brighter on Thursday with showers thereafter a cool and unsettled weekend. I don't believe the settled forecast for early august as it's too far off with poor gfs verification. Let's see at end of the week what the models say

Looking at the temps for next week it's going to be cold. It's 18 degrees now in Manchester it feels about 12

This is hpwhy we shouldn't believe the GFS

Just as a predicted earlier massive downgrade of the heatwave to a 96 hour warm spells. Unsettled and cool all next week. I never believe the gfs 06z

it is amazing that one week ago the GFS was saying 10 degrees and rain - now 24 or 25 degrees for Yorkshire and hot sunshine once the rain clears on Tuesday. Hopefully the cut off low will stay and we will have a long hot summer with the Azores high settling over the UK. Lets see what the GFS 12Z shows. Dont be suprised if there is a massive downgrade later.

Very disappointing 06Z GFS run with the precipitation and pressure charts showing a lot of unsettled weath

Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Wed Jun 28 2017 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. this indicates a quieter period in the Tropics

From looking at the GFS output on the 00Z run, it appeared that a strong ridge was going to generate some heat next week However, there has been a complete change of heart in the 06Z RUN with the heat being swept away. It appears that the weekend is going to be drier and brighter than Tuesday to Friday of this week with some sunshine but a front appears to be going to arrive on Saturday night across parts of England and Wales. The longer range CFS models are indicating something drier and warmer for the second, third and perhaps fourth weeks of July but I think its going to become a disappointing summer with the Jetstream being particularly powerful and with the amplification from the Eastern US this is going to send more low pressure systems our way next week. We need the Scandi and azores highs to join up to get some sustained dry and settled weather - I cant see us getting a Spanish plume again this summer.