Jump to content
Problems logging in? ×
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?

Summerstorm

Members
  • Posts

    387
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    1

Summerstorm last won the day on May 10 2018

Summerstorm had the most liked content!

Profile Information

  • Gender
    Male
  • Location
    Wrexham,NE Wales - 89m
  • Interests
    Photography,Motorsports,Football,Walking,Chess
  • Weather Preferences
    Hot and Sunny Summers/Cold Wintry Winters

Contact Methods

Recent Profile Visitors

4,021 profile views

Summerstorm's Achievements

Aficionado

Aficionado (7/14)

  • Five years in
  • 1000 reactions given Rare
  • 30 days in a row
  • Dedicated
  • Conversation Starter

Recent Badges

612

Reputation

  1. Yeah a few details could make a big difference on this run but that doesn't change the fact that this is not an 'awful' run. There is still plenty of time for change in what looks to be an overall promising pattern. Ergo the phasing of the lows this week they may have changed for the worse but shows how much can change short term. We have to remember where we are located within the Northern Hemisphere and limit our expectations, Also this winter has been infinitely better than the last and we are only two weeks in any more cold spells is a bonus imo
  2. Exactly what I was looking at I think sometimes posters fail to look at the bigger picture whether than the small details surrounding the UK. Case and point the wedge at day 8 forcing the LP to the south to slide. Get that into Europe and those heights to our south should be gone too.
  3. Lot of very cold air flowing into Eastern Scandanavia at day 10. Access that and we all know what to expect. At this point when do we start thinking about the breakdown that hasn't even happened. Do we start looking for trends or ways in which we can extend this spell? Talking hypothetically though a wedge over Greenland and Scandanavia maybe a reload, maybe retrogression between the two. Do the background signals make this feasible? : I haven't the foggiest. The GFS seems to like the Greenland route for now A messy picture however with a massive HP system over SE Europe. GEM on the other hand Can one explain how to polish a turd. For now we look to maximise the opportunities we have over the coming days. Where hopefully this spell is extended. For now I'll end my lengthy muse hope some of you found this helpful and you all have a good day.
  4. Believe its sleeting here now hopefully some heavier precipitation will bring the temp down.
  5. Ah nice looks the band of precipitation is doing everything it can to avoid here.
  6. Anyone want a second run at a sliding low on the ECM? (JFF as its way out in FI)
  7. To be fair maybe some poor wording on my part we just don't to what extent this spell may deliver so I'm being speculative for now. Will have to see nearer the time if we end up with some troughs & other features. In the meantime back on topic the control rolling out looks a lot cleaner than the OP run.
  8. Hopefully weakened strat = more opportunities for us down the line no matter if this spell delivers or not.
  9. Yeah looks like the LP over N UK doesn't move SE/ begin to weaken and as the blocking over Greenland/Iceland attempts to retrogress towards Scandinavia there is too much forcing so it spills out into the Siberian system instead and the remaining energy from the PV ejects a low in its place (I might be reading this wrong though!). I think we are riding our luck if we get the second ridge this time around as there are more things to go wrong. Would much prefer the cleaner evolution on the GEM less things to go wrong
  10. If that tropical storm does end up elongating and sliding hopefully it can help if we were to retrogress into a Scandi Pattern down the line by propping it up.
  11. Not sure why people are complaining about macro scale details when the overall pattern has oodles of potential to reload maybe we hit the jackpot on the second or third attempt. After last winter I am not complaining I will take anything I can get at this point. Finally remember not all people are looking for convective easterlies as they seldom deliver for Westerly areas unless they are very potent.
  12. No idea if Gogerddan or anywhere in Mid Wales with the foehn effect has gotten warmer since but hit 36 degrees at Hawarden
  13. Similar here too 37 degrees on garden weather station and an official 36 degrees at Hawarden.
×
×
  • Create New...