Bit of green on the map, maybe Mr frost might see something...
Day 1 Convective Outlook
VALID 06:00 UTC Tue 10 Dec 2019 - 05:59 UTC Wed 11 Dec 2019
ISSUED 06:48 UTC Tue 10 Dec 2019
ISSUED BY: Dan
A squally cold front will drive eastwards across the British Isles on Tuesday, in a strongly-sheared environment. Strong convective gusts are expected, accompanied by a brief spell of torrential rain - however, the risk of lightning is considered very low given meagre instability and a saturated column. Nonetheless, the front will need monitoring for potential brief spin-up tornadoes.
The post-frontal environment is then characterised by a significant cold pool overspreading relatively warm seas across western areas, with very steep mid-level lapse rates and a 200-500 J/kg CAPE. By Tuesday evening and night, numerous showers will pile into Ireland, northern and western Scotland, and later in the night across the Irish Sea into Wales and SW England. Some sporadic lightning is likely in places - climatologically, western Scotland, NW / W / SW Ireland, south Wales and SW England. A low-end SLGT has been introduced. Strong, gusty winds and small hail will accompany many of the showers, with snow on northern hills.
Convective Weather
WWW.CONVECTIVEWEATHER.CO.UK
Forecasting thunderstorms and severe convective weather across the British Isles and Ireland for up to the next 5 days.