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Another Kent clipper

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About Another Kent clipper

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  1. Bit of green for t' lads... Day 1 Convective Outlook VALID 06:00 UTC Sun 15 Dec 2019 - 05:59 UTC Mon 16 Dec 2019 ISSUED 23:04 UTC Sat 14 Dec 2019 ISSUED BY: Dan Similar to Saturday, a strong southwesterly flow aloft will cover much of central and southern parts of the British Isles during Sunday, on the forward side of a broad upper trough. Several shortwaves will move quickly northeastwards in the flow, enhancing shower activity and organising into longer spells of rain at times, with some linear features / bow echoes likely at times capable of producing squally winds, small hail and perhaps a tornado. Strong shear, steep mid-level lapse rates and several hundred J/kg CAPE will result in some sporadic lightning in places, particularly close to the southern and western coasts. A few episodes of interest exist - across parts of Wales on Sunday morning, Irish Sea during the afternoon then more widely over southern and western Britain during the evening hours (particularly Dorset to IoW northeastwards towards London). A low-end SLGT has been introduced. Convective Weather CONVECTIVEWEATHER.CO.UK Forecasting thunderstorms and severe convective weather across the British Isles and Ireland for up to the next 5 days.
  2. Bit of green on the map, maybe Mr frost might see something... Day 1 Convective Outlook VALID 06:00 UTC Tue 10 Dec 2019 - 05:59 UTC Wed 11 Dec 2019 ISSUED 06:48 UTC Tue 10 Dec 2019 ISSUED BY: Dan A squally cold front will drive eastwards across the British Isles on Tuesday, in a strongly-sheared environment. Strong convective gusts are expected, accompanied by a brief spell of torrential rain - however, the risk of lightning is considered very low given meagre instability and a saturated column. Nonetheless, the front will need monitoring for potential brief spin-up tornadoes. The post-frontal environment is then characterised by a significant cold pool overspreading relatively warm seas across western areas, with very steep mid-level lapse rates and a 200-500 J/kg CAPE. By Tuesday evening and night, numerous showers will pile into Ireland, northern and western Scotland, and later in the night across the Irish Sea into Wales and SW England. Some sporadic lightning is likely in places - climatologically, western Scotland, NW / W / SW Ireland, south Wales and SW England. A low-end SLGT has been introduced. Strong, gusty winds and small hail will accompany many of the showers, with snow on northern hills. Convective Weather WWW.CONVECTIVEWEATHER.CO.UK Forecasting thunderstorms and severe convective weather across the British Isles and Ireland for up to the next 5 days.
  3. @Flash bang flash bang etc Only in the UK would a low threat need to be further partitioned
  4. @Superstormuk I saw an anvil-shaped cloud today in Croydon and thought "aww, it looks like a cumulonimbus but it can't be because we have no storm forcast" Well maybe that bird that quacked was in fact a duck!
  5. Things looked a bit sexy earlier in Wallington, Sutton. A few respectable rumbles. And then it went away.
  6. I finish work at 7.30 this evening. Should I stay and do overtime that is the question?! Edit. I will wait and see, as that Irish storm appears to have died already
  7. The single paragraph makes me think even Dan is mourning the convective summer that was...
  8. Let's talk about August 2004. Anyone have any videos or experiences from it? I heard that it was quite a prolific time for the uk. I was living in Stoke at the time and don't personally remember anything notable
  9. Good sporadic morning. Day 1 Convective Outlook VALID 06:00 UTC Wed 04 Sep 2019 - 05:59 UTC Thu 05 Sep 2019 ISSUED 05:28 UTC Wed 04 Sep 2019 ISSUED BY: Dan Broad upper trough will migrate eastwards across the British Isles on Wednesday, with a couple hundred J/kg CAPE developing in response to warm SSTs and diurnal heating inland. Various areas of showers will tend to develop behind the cold front which will clear SE England late morning, but for most areas the depth of convection will be too shallow, and instability too weak, to produce much in the way of lightning. There will also be some longer spells of rain at times across Scotland in particular as the wrap-around occlusion slides eastwards. Overall the greatest risk of lightning will be across Scotland and northern England during Wednesday afternoon, but probably fairly isolated. There will most likely be an uptick in some sporadic lightning activity over the North Sea overnight. http://www.convectiveweather.co.uk/forecast.php?date=2019-09-04
  10. Speaking of which, i often wondered what this was that I saw a few years ago. https://youtu.be/m_xGSMUVFvY
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