Justin123

Might get there at some point today, until the front gets to close and pushes showers away.

Soooo slowwww though

Also pop the MOD and you will see that none of what you said is true to an extent, enjoy yourself over there?

The SSW making models unreliable after t144, so don’t lose hope, just look at met office extended forecast mate, they wouldn’t say something like this without some evidence to back themselves up. Of course you can be right as there are many outcomes but all is not lost.

More than 99% sure there will be no problems at all, not reaching that far inland, showers will die through the day anyway, you should be ?

At Harlow filling potholes, gutted as the depot is in Basildon where 2 heavy showers just fed through, flakes of dandruff here, trying to find an excuse to go back that way! Grit run at 12 pm aswell

Exactly what I’m saying. the GFS is rather inaccurate, the closer it is, in my experience it’s better the longer term forecasting. I prefer arpeggios and stone for 24hours ahead and of course radar watching, but if it did come of we would be looking at several cm’s as you say due to the slow movement of any precipitation.

We in the SE are probably the sweet spot in terms of conditions, so any precipitation will fall as snow. One to watch, see things do pop up at late notice when we have week long cold spells as this one.

This must be what I was leading on, it’s a good chance, a little surprise? I hope so

Look at my earlier post^^ bbc forecast aswell seemed to reignite the precipitation as it leaves se of uk. One to watch, but did mention, very hard for even high end models to pick up on something like this. Remember there is still the chance that it might not even stall, nowvasting and radar watching

In response to something I saw earlier on. Tommorow precipitation seems to die and stall central and northern England westward, but seems to pep up again as the front leaves easy anglia and the south east of England, something to watch in the next run. But will probably be now casting

Hi guys, New here so no one will recognise me. Anyways, I work for Essex county council, and take part in the gritting. I’ve been watching the models and constantly checking everything all winter. Sunday looks interesting, although not a runner, a similar potential snow event, similar to the 2 snow events in mid and late December, so will be marginal and transient, although this winter there has been a few letdowns, aswell as great days for snow. Who else holds the excitement back until 24 hours before

This was a surprise when I opened the BBC weather app, gritters out Essex Countywide, each night all weekend, with a run Saturday morning at the moment. Subject to change, but did like the surprise on here.

Slightly convective rainfall here, huge drops, just north of the Thames.

Was just browsing the GFS and saw this for the 4th of jan, a long way off, and I am pretty rubbish and amateur at reading charts, but that low seems to move in from the north with cold air cutting behind it, a potential snow even for northern England and scotland.

Absolutely hammered it down over in canvey, absolutely torrential, from about 3:30 - 5 am, I looked to my south towards Kent and the sky was lightning up, and I could see all the cloud features, no thunder though, must have been fairly elevated to see this .

I am currently in Canvey island looking south and i believe that some convection is going on to the E of me, supported by this radar image, of some pretty intensne rainfall, as it draws closer to convergence zones, and tiny amount of CAPE in The SE corner, ( S essex, Most of kent and E sussex) Canvey is just W of the heavy precipitation, map has decided not to upload!

A bust today? very cloud covered in SE Uk today, just looks like dynamic precipitation, although some areas of rainfall are intensifying, and it is currently P*****G it down. As for next Tuesday, the Cape is higher than today and yesterday showing some Mild instability more in NW Scotland and N Ireland, however also parts of SE UK and East Anglia. Although GFS 0.25 charts show a band of light patchy rain moving W to E over southern ULK on Tuesday with more activity looking to be further north. However as well know its going to be changing everyday!

A bust today? very cloud covered in SE Uk today, just looks like dynamic precipitation, although some areas of rainfall are intensifying, and it is currently P*****G it down.

Yes I noticed this aswell haha, could be embedded but behind the chunk of precipitation they're are showers producing sferics.

Currently in Harold wood just had another cell move through produced 2 flashes and 5 cracks ! I'm happy/ I want more though!!

Again, this is still not an anvil lol

Im hoping for what Estofex, convective weather and torro have mentioned to pay off tonight, being that between 00z to 06z there could be some embedded thunderstorm activity in the S/E ahead of cold front moving off to the east early tomorrow, my prediction is for a similar occur ace as yesterday, although lightning and MCS structure will be reduced, and it may be thundery rain, but I can't ask for much after last night. I am liking the development of the precipitation the the channel, and that little shower over Bognor, watch this space