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  1. Yea, there is no model on tonights runs that does not bring some disruptive gusts to parts of the country midweek, hopefully things won't verify with gusts this strong
  2. Sardonixs

    Golf Chat

    With stories like this https://www.skysports.com/golf/news/12176/11552508/justin-rose-and-paul-casey-to-sit-out-race-to-dubai-season-finale https://www.golf-monthly.co.uk/news/tour-news/tony-jacklin-total-agreement-mcilroys-european-tour-decision-169468 You have to wonder how much longer it is before the European Tour becomes widely considered a second-rate tour. It's not just about the money. The PGA tour has long had the bigger prize pots and for a journeyman player if you can get your PGA tour card then it makes financial sense to use it, the 100th ranked payer on the European tour got 391000 euros this year (£345000) PGA tour 100 ranked player $1.2million (£945000). Nothing wrong with choosing to triple your potential earnings. But the top European players in the past always seemed to try and support the Euro tour. But that seems to be slipping away. For them it is not about money, it is now all about peaking at the right time for the big tournaments and if that means sacrificing the Euro tour so be it. Then it becomes a downward spiral, less big names at Euro Tournaments, less sponsorship, less sponsorship smaller prize fund, smaller prize fund more players switching to the PGA tour. If not careful the Euro tour will be made up of players who either cannot get their PGA card or, for whatever reason, don't want to base themselves in the US. Think drastic actions may need to be taken, such as saying if you won't play on the Euro Tour then you cannot play in the Ryder Cup. Won't be a popular decision but its better than seeing the Euro Tour become nothing more than a second Division tour.
  3. No its 12z but only have clusters for 252 hours instead of 240 for some reason..
  4. GFS Clusters, 25% go for something along the lines of the op at day 10, 15% something closer to the ECM
  5. The model ensembles still do build high pressure over the UK but not till day 15ish, of course the question will be what happens to that high afterwards. But the theme of high pressure over the UK does seem to drifting from mid month which was showing a week back towards the final third of the month now.
  6. coldies can relax, end of the ECM was a clear mild outliner
  7. Sardonixs

    Wayne Rooney A great or not

    bit late to this thread but... Is it a case of genetics or a case of too much too soon, players may have the talent to play top-flight football at 17 18 or 19 but are there bodies fully ready. Does starting players too soon increase the risk of meaning that they will have to retire at an earlier age?
  8. Sardonixs


    OUTRIGHT WINNING TEAM:USA TOP OVERALL POINTS SCORER:Justin Rose (win) TOP EUROPEAN POINTS SCORER:Justin Rose (win) TOP U.S.A. POINTS SCORER: Bryson DE CHAMBEAU (EW) Overall Score USA 14.5 EUR 13.5 Top USA Wild Card Tiger Woods Top Euro Wild Card Ian Poulter
  9. Sardonixs

    Model Output Discussion - Autumn 2018

    Latest JMA picks up on the same theme as the other LR models of a mid-month switch from high to low pressure dominated setup
  10. Sardonixs

    Animal Photographs

    Does anyone know what this little guy is? Rat, mouse,vole?
  11. Sardonixs

    Model Output Discussion - Autumn 2018

    BCC updated its long range model overnight and showing the same sort of change in pattern mid-month as CFS /EC46 EPS clusters are showing the change showing up high pressure in the majority at 240 hours: but in a majority by the end of the run Things certainly to be firming up on a pattern change past the first 10 days or so of October.
  12. Sardonixs

    Golf Chat

    Always been a fan of Justin so a shame that winning the FedEX going to be overshadowed. Not many golfers (if any) who have Order of Merit, FedEx (or there equivalents) a major and world number one (plus Olympic gold) on their CV's. Probably needs to get a couple more majors under his belt to get more widespread recognition that his talent deserves.
  13. Sardonixs

    Model Output Discussion - Autumn 2018

    It quiet close to is mean through the majority of the run, goes out on its own right at the end. Spread in the GFS and ECM ensembles at 10 day is about the same.
  14. Sardonixs

    Model Output Discussion - Autumn 2018

    Looking through the ECM members and there is an almost 50/50 split for Sunday with 23/50 going for a deep low around the country, the others leaning more towards the op run. GFS looks pretty evenly split as well, despite its op runs being more bullish.
  15. Sardonixs

    World Cup 2018

    regarding England having the easier teams to beat so far; three off the four teams in the semi finals run in has been are equal, having all faced one higher ranked team, Croatia slightly harder having faced two. France 1 higher ranked team - Argentina Belgium 1 higher ranked team - Brazil Croatia - 2 high ranked teams - Argentina, Denmark England - 1 higher ranked team Belgium Main difference I suppose is that England has not beaten a high ranked team so far. Croatia has the hardest route to winning now - needing two beat two higher ranked teams (England then either France or Belgium). Belgium has the easiest with France and then either England or Croatia ranked below them. Of course, at this stage of a tournament paper rankings mean very little and its all down to how the teams play on the day.