Selliso

Looks like the Irish Sea is pepping up again - one to watch?

A light flurry just passed by here in Loggerheads, looks like we might be clipped by a couple more shows coming through on a line from the Wirral. MetO has us under something more substantial around 7pm.

I'm between Market Drayton and Stoke on Trent - radar has shown ppn over us for over an hour, but absolutely nothing has fallen from the sky here...

Rise rate perhaps slowing now, Northenden station also now less than an inch from its highest recorded level

Looks like it’s smashed through the 2000 record and still rising

They are using it to highlight that Needles is an exposed location

If you read the information in the warning, I think it describes the timing quite well...

Plenty of warnings along the storm's path beyond the UK

"Middle of the day" for worst of the forecasted wind impacts along South coast and South East.

Day out indeed - looking at the traffic, it could take a day to get there!

Any ideas on what this feature coming into North Wales is doing? I'm not sure I saw this modelled anywhere... unexpected trough?

This has Stoke written all over it.

I've been watching this too - can't quite make out what it is vs expected front locations - I think it's heading south of my location but looks on track to head towards Birmingham. Perhaps a surprise or two in store! A lot of cloud ahead of this - gone from clear skies to compeltely cloudy in the last 30 mins.

Ref the North Sea, there is quite a bit more of it to gain moisture than the Irish Sea. The beafy showers from the Irish Sea would require specific conditions, inc. wind speed and direction. If drawing directly down from the Atlantic and through the North Channel, Manchester / Cheshire / Staffs can do well in this set up. Orographic augmentation kicks in quickly over north west England, often allowing light / limited shower activity at the coast to build into more meaningful showers quite quickly - benefitting Huddersfield more than Rochdale!

Pretty little dusting now - still snowing, no sign of sleet yet.

Light snow in Loggerheads

I would be surprised by much more than transient / intermittent falling snow in heavier bursts below 100m. Surprises likely to come between 100m-200m in some places. I was confused by the BBC weather forecast this morning, as still showed warm front chased by cold front, with the dreaded mild sector - however fax charts seem to show the front fully occluded well into the Atlantic? Not 100% sure what bearing that has, although my rudimentary knowledge would lead me to believe that there is a greater chance for a rain to snow event with that set up, as the mild sector is squeezed out (elevated) by the advancing cold front.

Happy re-retirement to Mr Michael Fish, who I have heard, alongside John Kettley, is a Weatherman. You were one of the main faces of the weather for me, and sparked my amateur interest in meteorology through the late 80s and through the 90s. Thank you. Sending you very best wishes.

Tiny-flaked flurry just started outside the window in Loggerheads (near Market Drayton) - the mass in the Irish Sea is looking very interesting indeed....

A fair amount of anaprop ahead of the main band, it seems. Low also appears to be a little further east than most models (perhaps 30-40 miles or so?), bringing the rain transition further east over north west england. The being said, moving past the radar gap seems to show ppn extends further west, now visible north of the North Wales coast - all to play for

Bit further north and east in Hawes (Yorkshire Dales) there is some nice looking snowfall Penny Garth Cafe live webcam | Penny Garth Cafe PENNYGARTHCAFE.CO.UK Penny Garth Cafe in Hawes is a popular stop for Motorcyclists, Walkers, Families, Cyclists. Watch the live webcam to see the weather in the Yorkshire Dales

Rain turned sleety at Loggerheads (between Market Drayton & Stoke on Trent) c. 200m

Don't get me wrong - I'd love to be shovelling snow off the driveway again (the last piles of the stuff melted here overnight last night) and the Met could be wrong!